Predictions › United States › Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks
NBASun 15 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction

Fiserv Forum

Atlanta HawksAway
122.9 : 113.2
projected points
Milwaukee BucksHome
79%Hawks
21%Bucks
Eagle safe pickHawks to win
-365

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks is Atlanta Hawks to win, with a 79% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 122.9 and Milwaukee Bucks 113.2. Our best bet is Hawks to win at -365.

Prediction
Atlanta Hawks to win
Chance
79%
Projected score
Atlanta Hawks 123, Milwaukee Bucks 113
Projected total
236.1 points
Best bet
Hawks to win at -365

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hawks to win
78% chanceFair price -3652 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Milwaukee Bucks 21% and Atlanta Hawks 79%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Milwaukee Bucks won 1 of their last 5 and Atlanta Hawks won 3 of their last 5. Atlanta Hawks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Milwaukee Bucks won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Atlanta Hawks won 8 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Milwaukee Bucks score 110.2 points a game and let in 120.5. Atlanta Hawks score 112.8 and let in 115.5. Their recent games average 230.8 and 228.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Milwaukee Bucks won 1 and Atlanta Hawks won 2. The last one ended Atlanta Hawks 122, Milwaukee Bucks 99.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hawks to win has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bucksrest between games-5%
  • Hawksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks: Atlanta Hawks are favourites

The big picture

Milwaukee Bucks host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA on Sun 15 Nov, 20:00 at Fiserv Forum. Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks is Atlanta Hawks to win, with a 79% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 122.9 and Milwaukee Bucks 113.2. Our best bet is Hawks to win at -365.

Milwaukee Bucks form

Milwaukee Bucks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2204 points scored and 2411 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Atlanta Hawks form

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2257 points scored and 2310 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Milwaukee Bucks won 1, Atlanta Hawks won 2. Last time out it finished Atlanta Hawks 122, Milwaukee Bucks 99.

Our call

We expect Atlanta Hawks to score about 122.9 points and Milwaukee Bucks about 113.2. That points to Atlanta Hawks to win. Our safest bet is Hawks to win at -365.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BucksHawks
Games played2020
Wins511
Losses159
Points scored22042257
Points conceded24112310
Scored per game110.2112.8
Conceded per game120.5115.5
Home record3W 6L3W 5L
Away record2W 9L8W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Bucks spreadCoversFair
Bucks +3.531%+221
Bucks +6.540%+150
Bucks +9.549%+102
Bucks +12.559%-144
Bucks +15.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
230.562%38%
233.556%44%
236.549%51%
239.543%57%
242.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bucks +3.5 wins if Bucks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks is Atlanta Hawks to win, with a 79% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 122.9 and Milwaukee Bucks 113.2. Our best bet is Hawks to win at -365.

What is the projected score for Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks?

We project Atlanta Hawks 122.9 and Milwaukee Bucks 113.2, about 236.1 points in total.

How are Milwaukee Bucks playing?

Milwaukee Bucks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2204 points scored and 2411 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Atlanta Hawks playing?

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2257 points scored and 2310 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Milwaukee Bucks and Atlanta Hawks last met?

It ended Atlanta Hawks 122, Milwaukee Bucks 99. In the last 3 meetings Milwaukee Bucks won 1 and Atlanta Hawks won 2.

What is the best bet for Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Hawks to win at -365, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bucks against Hawks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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