Predictions › United States › Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans
NBASat 31 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction

Smoothie King Center

Atlanta HawksAway
121.5 : 119.3
projected points
New Orleans PelicansHome
57%Hawks
43%Pelicans
Eagle safe pickPelicans +10.5
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans is Atlanta Hawks to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Atlanta Hawks 121.5 and New Orleans Pelicans 119.3. Our best bet is Pelicans +10.5 at -305.

Prediction
Atlanta Hawks to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Atlanta Hawks 122, New Orleans Pelicans 119
Projected total
240.8 points
Best bet
Pelicans +10.5 at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pelicans +10.5
75% chanceFair price -3052 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pelicans to win
43% chanceFair price +1321 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New Orleans Pelicans 43% and Atlanta Hawks 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New Orleans Pelicans won 3 of their last 5 and Atlanta Hawks won 4 of their last 5. Atlanta Hawks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New Orleans Pelicans won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Atlanta Hawks won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New Orleans Pelicans score 114.6 points a game and let in 117.6. Atlanta Hawks score 114.3 and let in 115.0. Their recent games average 232.2 and 229.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, New Orleans Pelicans won 0 and Atlanta Hawks won 2. The last one ended Atlanta Hawks 117, New Orleans Pelicans 100.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pelicans +10.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans: Atlanta Hawks shade it

The big picture

New Orleans Pelicans host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA on Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 at Smoothie King Center. Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans is Atlanta Hawks to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Atlanta Hawks 121.5 and New Orleans Pelicans 119.3. Our best bet is Pelicans +10.5 at -305.

New Orleans Pelicans form

New Orleans Pelicans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2292 points scored and 2352 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Atlanta Hawks form

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2285 points scored and 2300 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. New Orleans Pelicans won 0, Atlanta Hawks won 2. Last time out it finished Atlanta Hawks 117, New Orleans Pelicans 100.

Our call

We expect Atlanta Hawks to score about 121.5 points and New Orleans Pelicans about 119.3. That points to Atlanta Hawks to win. Our safest bet is Pelicans +10.5 at -305. Our bold bet is Pelicans to win at +132.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PelicansHawks
Games played2020
Wins811
Losses129
Points scored22922285
Points conceded23522300
Scored per game114.6114.3
Conceded per game117.6115.0
Home record6W 3L5W 4L
Away record2W 9L6W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pelicans spreadCoversFair
Pelicans -3.532%+210
Pelicans -0.541%+143
Pelicans +2.551%-103
Pelicans +5.560%-151
Pelicans +8.569%-224
Total pointsOverUnder
234.564%36%
237.557%43%
240.551%49%
243.544%56%
246.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pelicans +3.5 wins if Pelicans win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans is Atlanta Hawks to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Atlanta Hawks 121.5 and New Orleans Pelicans 119.3. Our best bet is Pelicans +10.5 at -305.

What is the projected score for Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans?

We project Atlanta Hawks 121.5 and New Orleans Pelicans 119.3, about 240.8 points in total.

How are New Orleans Pelicans playing?

New Orleans Pelicans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2292 points scored and 2352 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Atlanta Hawks playing?

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2285 points scored and 2300 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when New Orleans Pelicans and Atlanta Hawks last met?

It ended Atlanta Hawks 117, New Orleans Pelicans 100. In the last 2 meetings New Orleans Pelicans won 0 and Atlanta Hawks won 2.

What is the best bet for Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Pelicans +10.5 at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pelicans against Hawks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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