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Predictions › United States › Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder
NBAWed 18 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction

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Atlanta HawksAway
111.4 : 117.5
projected points
Oklahoma City ThunderHome
30%Hawks
70%Thunder
Eagle safe pickHawks +14.5
-311

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 70% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 111.4 and Oklahoma City Thunder 117.5. Our best bet is Hawks +14.5 at -311.

Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder to win
Chance
70%
Projected score
Atlanta Hawks 111, Oklahoma City Thunder 117
Projected total
228.9 points
Best bet
Hawks +14.5 at -311

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hawks +14.5
76% chanceFair price -3112 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hawks to win
30% chanceFair price +2291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oklahoma City Thunder 70% and Atlanta Hawks 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oklahoma City Thunder won 4 of their last 5 and Atlanta Hawks won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oklahoma City Thunder won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Atlanta Hawks won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Oklahoma City Thunder score 109.8 points a game and let in 109.0. Atlanta Hawks score 115.8 and let in 118.0. Their recent games average 218.9 and 233.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Oklahoma City Thunder won 2 and Atlanta Hawks won 1. The last one ended Atlanta Hawks 113, Oklahoma City Thunder 110.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hawks +14.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Thunderrest between games-2%
  • Hawksrest between games-5%
  • Thunderteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Oklahoma City Thunder are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Oklahoma City Thunder host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA on Wed 18 Nov, 20:00 at Paycom Center. Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 70% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 111.4 and Oklahoma City Thunder 117.5. Our best bet is Hawks +14.5 at -311.

Oklahoma City Thunder form

Oklahoma City Thunder have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2197 points scored and 2181 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Atlanta Hawks form

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2316 points scored and 2360 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Oklahoma City Thunder won 2, Atlanta Hawks won 1. Last time out it finished Atlanta Hawks 113, Oklahoma City Thunder 110.

Our call

We expect Atlanta Hawks to score about 111.4 points and Oklahoma City Thunder about 117.5. That points to Oklahoma City Thunder to win. Our safest bet is Hawks +14.5 at -311. Our bold bet is Hawks to win at +229.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ThunderHawks
Games played2020
Wins1111
Losses99
Points scored21972316
Points conceded21812360
Scored per game109.8115.8
Conceded per game109.0118.0
Home record7W 3L4W 6L
Away record4W 6L7W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Thunder spreadCoversFair
Thunder -12.530%+229
Thunder -9.539%+155
Thunder -6.549%+105
Thunder -3.558%-139
Thunder -0.567%-206
Total pointsOverUnder
222.564%36%
225.557%43%
228.551%49%
231.544%56%
234.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Thunder +3.5 wins if Thunder win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Doncic Leads Lakers to Sixth Straight Victory in Return

Luka Doncic returned from a back injury to score 32 points as the Lakers beat the Hawks 124-114 for their sixth straight win.

14 hours ago
NBA

Thunder Acquire Nique Clifford From Kings for Draft Picks

The Oklahoma City Thunder traded two future second round draft picks to the Sacramento Kings for second year wing Nique Clifford.

8 Nov 2026
NBA

Trae Young Reflects on Atlanta Return After Wizards Loss

Trae Young played his first game back in Atlanta as a member of the Wizards, posting 23 points and 10 assists in a 139-132 defeat.

7 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 70% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 111.4 and Oklahoma City Thunder 117.5. Our best bet is Hawks +14.5 at -311.

What is the projected score for Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

We project Atlanta Hawks 111.4 and Oklahoma City Thunder 117.5, about 228.9 points in total.

How are Oklahoma City Thunder playing?

Oklahoma City Thunder have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2197 points scored and 2181 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Atlanta Hawks playing?

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2316 points scored and 2360 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Oklahoma City Thunder and Atlanta Hawks last met?

It ended Atlanta Hawks 113, Oklahoma City Thunder 110. In the last 3 meetings Oklahoma City Thunder won 2 and Atlanta Hawks won 1.

What is the best bet for Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

Hawks +14.5 at -311, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Thunder against Hawks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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