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Predictions › United States › Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic
NBAWed 21 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic prediction

Kia Center

Atlanta HawksAway
115.7 : 117.7
projected points
Orlando MagicHome
49%Hawks
51%Magic
Eagle safe pickHawks +10.5
-302

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic is Orlando Magic to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Atlanta Hawks 115.7 and Orlando Magic 117.7. Our best bet is Hawks +10.5 at -302.

Prediction
Orlando Magic to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Atlanta Hawks 116, Orlando Magic 118
Projected total
233.4 points
Best bet
Hawks +10.5 at -302

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hawks +10.5
75% chanceFair price -3022 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Orlando Magic 51% and Atlanta Hawks 49%. The bookmakers agree and make Orlando Magic the favourite at -130.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Orlando Magic won 1 of their last 5 and Atlanta Hawks won 2 of their last 5. Atlanta Hawks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Orlando Magic won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Atlanta Hawks won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Orlando Magic score 108.6 points a game and let in 110.5. Atlanta Hawks score 115.7 and let in 115.8. Their recent games average 219.2 and 231.4 points in total, and the market line is 233.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Orlando Magic won 0 and Atlanta Hawks won 4. The last one ended Orlando Magic 101, Atlanta Hawks 130.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hawks +10.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Magicrest between games-5%
  • Hawksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic: Orlando Magic shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Orlando Magic host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA on Wed 21 Oct, 19:00 at Kia Center. Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic is Orlando Magic to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Atlanta Hawks 115.7 and Orlando Magic 117.7. Our best bet is Hawks +10.5 at -302.

Orlando Magic form

Orlando Magic have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2172 points scored and 2211 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Atlanta Hawks form

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2313 points scored and 2315 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Orlando Magic won 0, Atlanta Hawks won 4. Last time out it finished Orlando Magic 101, Atlanta Hawks 130.

Our call

We expect Atlanta Hawks to score about 115.7 points and Orlando Magic about 117.7. That points to Orlando Magic to win. Our safest bet is Hawks +10.5 at -302.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MagicHawks
Games played2020
Wins1111
Losses99
Points scored21722313
Points conceded22112315
Scored per game108.6115.7
Conceded per game110.5115.8
Home record6W 2L5W 4L
Away record5W 7L6W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Magic to win51%-106-130-9.0%
Hawks to win43%+132+110-9.3%
Magic -2.546%+118-110-12.3%
Hawks +2.549%+106-110-7.1%
Over 233.5 points47%+112-110-10.0%
Under 233.5 points47%+111-110-9.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Magic spreadCoversFair
Magic -7.533%+203
Magic -4.542%+138
Magic -1.552%-106
Magic +1.561%-156
Magic +4.570%-231
Total pointsOverUnder
227.563%37%
230.556%44%
233.550%50%
236.543%57%
239.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Magic +3.5 wins if Magic win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Hawks Trade Buddy Hield and Ryan Nembhard to Hornets for Dorian Finney-Smith

The Atlanta Hawks are trading Buddy Hield and Ryan Nembhard to the Charlotte Hornets to acquire veteran forward Dorian Finney-Smith.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic?

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic is Orlando Magic to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Atlanta Hawks 115.7 and Orlando Magic 117.7. Our best bet is Hawks +10.5 at -302.

What is the projected score for Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic?

We project Atlanta Hawks 115.7 and Orlando Magic 117.7, about 233.4 points in total.

How are Orlando Magic playing?

Orlando Magic have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2172 points scored and 2211 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Atlanta Hawks playing?

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2313 points scored and 2315 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Orlando Magic and Atlanta Hawks last met?

It ended Orlando Magic 101, Atlanta Hawks 130. In the last 4 meetings Orlando Magic won 0 and Atlanta Hawks won 4.

What is the best bet for Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic?

Hawks +10.5 at -302, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Magic against Hawks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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