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Predictions › United States › Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs
NBAThu 8 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs prediction

Frost Bank Center

Atlanta HawksAway
112.2 : 119.5
projected points
San Antonio SpursHome
26%Hawks
74%Spurs
Eagle safe pickHawks +15.5
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 74% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 112.2 and San Antonio Spurs 119.5. Our best bet is Hawks +15.5 at -301.

Prediction
San Antonio Spurs to win
Chance
74%
Projected score
Atlanta Hawks 112, San Antonio Spurs 119
Projected total
231.6 points
Best bet
Hawks +15.5 at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hawks +15.5
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hawks to win
27% chanceFair price +2771 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Antonio Spurs 74% and Atlanta Hawks 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Antonio Spurs won 1 of their last 5 and Atlanta Hawks won 2 of their last 5. Atlanta Hawks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Antonio Spurs won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Atlanta Hawks won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Antonio Spurs score 112.5 points a game and let in 105.0. Atlanta Hawks score 115.2 and let in 114.8. Their recent games average 217.6 and 230.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, San Antonio Spurs won 2 and Atlanta Hawks won 0. The last one ended Atlanta Hawks 98, San Antonio Spurs 126.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hawks +15.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Spursrest between games-3%
  • Hawksrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs: San Antonio Spurs are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

San Antonio Spurs host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA on Thu 8 Oct, 20:00 at Frost Bank Center. Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 74% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 112.2 and San Antonio Spurs 119.5. Our best bet is Hawks +15.5 at -301.

San Antonio Spurs form

San Antonio Spurs have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2251 points scored and 2100 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Atlanta Hawks form

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2304 points scored and 2297 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. San Antonio Spurs won 2, Atlanta Hawks won 0. Last time out it finished Atlanta Hawks 98, San Antonio Spurs 126.

Our call

We expect Atlanta Hawks to score about 112.2 points and San Antonio Spurs about 119.5. That points to San Antonio Spurs to win. Our safest bet is Hawks +15.5 at -301. Our bold bet is Hawks to win at +277.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SpursHawks
Games played2020
Wins1111
Losses99
Points scored22512304
Points conceded21002297
Scored per game112.5115.2
Conceded per game105.0114.8
Home record5W 5L6W 3L
Away record6W 4L5W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Spurs spreadCoversFair
Spurs -13.531%+223
Spurs -10.540%+151
Spurs -7.549%+103
Spurs -4.559%-143
Spurs -1.568%-211
Total pointsOverUnder
225.563%37%
228.557%43%
231.550%50%
234.544%56%
237.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Spurs +3.5 wins if Spurs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Hawks Trade Buddy Hield and Ryan Nembhard to Hornets for Dorian Finney-Smith

The Atlanta Hawks are trading Buddy Hield and Ryan Nembhard to the Charlotte Hornets to acquire veteran forward Dorian Finney-Smith.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs?

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 74% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 112.2 and San Antonio Spurs 119.5. Our best bet is Hawks +15.5 at -301.

What is the projected score for Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs?

We project Atlanta Hawks 112.2 and San Antonio Spurs 119.5, about 231.6 points in total.

How are San Antonio Spurs playing?

San Antonio Spurs have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2251 points scored and 2100 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Atlanta Hawks playing?

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2304 points scored and 2297 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when San Antonio Spurs and Atlanta Hawks last met?

It ended Atlanta Hawks 98, San Antonio Spurs 126. In the last 2 meetings San Antonio Spurs won 2 and Atlanta Hawks won 0.

What is the best bet for Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs?

Hawks +15.5 at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Spurs against Hawks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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