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Predictions › United States › Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati
MLSSat 10 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati prediction

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta United FCHome
2.32 : 1.60
expected goals
FC CincinnatiAway
53%Atlanta
21%Draw
26%Cincinnati
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati is Atlanta United FC to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -303.

Prediction
Atlanta United FC to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Atlanta United FC 2.3, FC Cincinnati 1.6
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at -303
Both teams to score
72%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Atlanta United FC to win and Over 2.5
41% chanceFair price +1421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlanta United FC 53%, the draw 21% and FC Cincinnati 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlanta United FC took 6 points from their last 5 games and FC Cincinnati took 2 from 5. Atlanta United FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlanta United FC won 3 of their last 9 games at home. FC Cincinnati won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlanta United FC score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. FC Cincinnati score 2.3 and let in 2.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Atlanta United FC games and 16 of FC Cincinnati games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Atlanta United FC won 0 and FC Cincinnati won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended FC Cincinnati 2, Atlanta United FC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cincinnatirecent form-4%
Atlanta form D W D L DCincinnati form L D D L LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati: Atlanta United FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlanta United FC host FC Cincinnati in the MLS on Sat 10 Oct, 19:30 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Our prediction for Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati is Atlanta United FC to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -303.

Atlanta United FC form

Atlanta United FC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, D, newest first.

FC Cincinnati form

FC Cincinnati have 6 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Atlanta United FC won 0, FC Cincinnati won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished FC Cincinnati 2, Atlanta United FC 0.

Our call

We expect Atlanta United FC to score about 2.3 goals and FC Cincinnati about 1.6. That points to Atlanta United FC to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at -303. Our bold bet is Atlanta United FC to win and Over 2.5 at +142.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AtlantaCincinnati
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws59
Losses95
Goals scored2646
Goals conceded3349
Scored per game1.32.3
Conceded per game1.62.5
Home record3W 1D 5L5W 3D 1L
Away record3W 4D 4L1W 6D 4L
Clean sheets10%5%
Both teams scored70%85%
Over 2.5 goals65%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals91%-966
Over 2.5 goals75%-298
Over 3.5 goals55%-122
Both teams to score72%-261
Atlanta United FC or Draw74%-287
FC Cincinnati or Draw47%+115
Atlanta United FC to win and Over 2.544%+128
FC Cincinnati to win and Over 2.521%+386
Atlanta United FC clean sheet20%+393
FC Cincinnati clean sheet10%+913

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.6%
1-17.8%
2-26.8%
3-16.6%
1-25.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?

Our prediction for Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati is Atlanta United FC to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -303.

What is the score prediction for Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-2. We expect Atlanta United FC to score 2.3 goals and FC Cincinnati 1.6.

Will both teams score in Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?

Both teams to score has a 72% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Atlanta United FC last 20 games and 17 of FC Cincinnati last 20.

How are Atlanta United FC playing?

Atlanta United FC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, D, newest first.

How are FC Cincinnati playing?

FC Cincinnati have 6 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati last met?

It ended FC Cincinnati 2, Atlanta United FC 0. In the last 1 meeting Atlanta United FC won 0 and FC Cincinnati won 1.

What is the best bet for Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?

Over 2.5 goals at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atlanta against Cincinnati. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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