Predictions › United States › Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC

MLSSun 1 Nov, 16:30 United States time

Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC prediction

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta United FCHome

1.40 : 1.27

expected goals

Toronto FCAway

39%Atlanta

27%Draw

33%Toronto

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

-315

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC is Atlanta United FC to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -315.

Prediction: Atlanta United FC to win
Chance: 39%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Atlanta United FC 1.4, Toronto FC 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at -315
Both teams to score: 55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price -3152 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price +6651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Atlanta United FC 39%, the draw 27% and Toronto FC 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Atlanta United FC took 7 points from their last 5 games and Toronto FC took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Atlanta United FC won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Toronto FC won 2 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Atlanta United FC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.7. Toronto FC score 1.4 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Atlanta United FC games and 13 of Toronto FC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Atlanta United FC won 1 and Toronto FC won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Toronto FC 1, Atlanta United FC 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Atlantarecent form+1%
Torontorecent form-1%

Atlanta form D W L D WToronto form D D W L LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC: Atlanta United FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlanta United FC host Toronto FC in the MLS on Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Our prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC is Atlanta United FC to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -315.

Atlanta United FC form

Atlanta United FC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Toronto FC form

Toronto FC have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Atlanta United FC won 1, Toronto FC won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Toronto FC 1, Atlanta United FC 2.

Our call

We expect Atlanta United FC to score about 1.4 goals and Toronto FC about 1.3. That points to Atlanta United FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -315. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at +665.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Atlanta	Toronto
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	5
Draws	5	8
Losses	9	7
Goals scored	28	29
Goals conceded	34	36
Scored per game	1.4	1.4
Conceded per game	1.7	1.8
Home record	3W 1D 5L	3W 5D 1L
Away record	3W 4D 4L	2W 3D 6L
Clean sheets	15%	15%
Both teams scored	70%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	-304
Over 2.5 goals	50%	+101
Over 3.5 goals	28%	+259
Both teams to score	55%	-122
Atlanta United FC or Draw	67%	-199
Toronto FC or Draw	61%	-156
Atlanta United FC to win and Over 2.5	23%	+327
Toronto FC to win and Over 2.5	20%	+407
Atlanta United FC clean sheet	28%	+257
Toronto FC clean sheet	25%	+303

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%

1-09.0%

2-18.6%

0-18.1%

1-27.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

MLS

Messi Doubles Up in Atlanta as Inter Miami Cruise to 3-1 Win

Lionel Messi scored twice in four minutes to lead Inter Miami past Atlanta United 3-1 on Saturday.

18 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?

Our prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC is Atlanta United FC to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -315.

What is the score prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Atlanta United FC to score 1.4 goals and Toronto FC 1.3.

Will both teams score in Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Atlanta United FC last 20 games and 15 of Toronto FC last 20.

How are Atlanta United FC playing?

How are Toronto FC playing?

What happened when Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC last met?

It ended Toronto FC 1, Atlanta United FC 2. In the last 1 meeting Atlanta United FC won 1 and Toronto FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -315, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atlanta against Toronto. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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