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Predictions › Mexico › Atlas vs Pachuca
Liga MXSat 7 Nov, 23:00 Mexico time

Atlas vs Pachuca prediction

Estadio Jalisco

AtlasHome
1.09 : 1.49
expected goals
PachucaAway
27%Atlas
27%Draw
46%Pachuca
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlas vs Pachuca is Pachuca to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Pachuca to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Atlas 1.1, Pachuca 1.5
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.331 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pachuca to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlas 27%, the draw 27% and Pachuca 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlas took 10 points from their last 5 games and Pachuca took 4 from 5. Atlas come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlas won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Pachuca won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlas score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.5. Pachuca score 1.4 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Atlas games and 10 of Pachuca games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Atlas won 0 and Pachuca won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Pachuca 3, Atlas 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Atlasrecent form+1%
  • Pachucarecent form-4%
Atlas form D L W D WPachuca form D L L D LHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlas vs Pachuca: Pachuca are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlas host Pachuca in the Liga MX on Sat 7 Nov, 23:00 at Estadio Jalisco. Our prediction for Atlas vs Pachuca is Pachuca to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Atlas form

Atlas have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Pachuca form

Pachuca have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Atlas won 0, Pachuca won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Pachuca 3, Atlas 1.

Our call

We expect Atlas to score about 1.1 goals and Pachuca about 1.5. That points to Pachuca to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Pachuca to win and Over 2.5 at 3.85.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AtlasPachuca
Games played2020
Wins97
Draws54
Losses69
Goals scored2927
Goals conceded3025
Scored per game1.41.4
Conceded per game1.51.3
Home record2W 5D 4L2W 3D 4L
Away record7W 0D 2L5W 1D 5L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals40%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%2.10
Over 3.5 goals26%3.84
Both teams to score52%1.92
Atlas or Draw54%1.84
Pachuca or Draw73%1.37
Atlas to win and Over 2.515%6.68
Pachuca to win and Over 2.527%3.74
Atlas clean sheet22%4.45
Pachuca clean sheet34%2.98

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
0-110.5%
1-29.2%
0-28.4%
0-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlas vs Pachuca?

Our prediction for Atlas vs Pachuca is Pachuca to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Atlas vs Pachuca?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Atlas to score 1.1 goals and Pachuca 1.5.

Will both teams score in Atlas vs Pachuca?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Atlas last 20 games and 10 of Pachuca last 20.

How are Atlas playing?

Atlas have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Pachuca playing?

Pachuca have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Atlas and Pachuca last met?

It ended Pachuca 3, Atlas 1. In the last 1 meeting Atlas won 0 and Pachuca won 1.

What is the best bet for Atlas vs Pachuca?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atlas against Pachuca. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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