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Predictions › Colombia › Atlético Bucaramanga vs América de Cali
Colombian Primera ASun 18 Oct, 21:00 Colombia time

Atlético Bucaramanga vs América de Cali prediction

Estadio Alfonso López

Atlético BucaramangaHome
1.46 : 0.87
expected goals
América de CaliAway
50%Bucaramanga
28%Draw
22%América Cali
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs América de Cali is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Atlético Bucaramanga to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Atlético Bucaramanga 1.5, América de Cali 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético Bucaramanga 50%, the draw 28% and América de Cali 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético Bucaramanga took 13 points from their last 5 games and América de Cali took 10 from 5. Atlético Bucaramanga come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético Bucaramanga won 3 of their last 9 games at home. América de Cali won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético Bucaramanga score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. América de Cali score 1.6 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Atlético Bucaramanga games and 8 of América de Cali games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Atlético Bucaramanga won 0 and América de Cali won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended América de Cali 2, Atlético Bucaramanga 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bucaramangarecent form+6%
  • América Calirecent form+3%
Bucaramanga form W W W D WAmérica Cali form W W D L WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlético Bucaramanga vs América de Cali: Atlético Bucaramanga are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlético Bucaramanga host América de Cali in the Colombian Primera A on Sun 18 Oct, 21:00 at Estadio Alfonso López. Our prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs América de Cali is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Atlético Bucaramanga form

Atlético Bucaramanga have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

América de Cali form

América de Cali have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Atlético Bucaramanga won 0, América de Cali won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished América de Cali 2, Atlético Bucaramanga 0.

Our call

We expect Atlético Bucaramanga to score about 1.5 goals and América de Cali about 0.9. That points to Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.5 at 3.85.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BucaramangaAmérica Cali
Games played2020
Wins712
Draws74
Losses64
Goals scored3133
Goals conceded2517
Scored per game1.61.6
Conceded per game1.30.8
Home record3W 5D 1L8W 1D 1L
Away record4W 2D 5L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets20%45%
Both teams scored65%35%
Over 2.5 goals50%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.46
Over 2.5 goals41%2.43
Over 3.5 goals21%4.83
Both teams to score45%2.21
Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw78%1.27
América de Cali or Draw50%2.02
Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.526%3.77
América de Cali to win and Over 2.510%9.80
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet42%2.38
América de Cali clean sheet23%4.32

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.5%
1-113.1%
0-010.5%
2-010.4%
2-19.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlético Bucaramanga vs América de Cali?

Our prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs América de Cali is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs América de Cali?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Atlético Bucaramanga to score 1.5 goals and América de Cali 0.9.

Will both teams score in Atlético Bucaramanga vs América de Cali?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Atlético Bucaramanga last 20 games and 7 of América de Cali last 20.

How are Atlético Bucaramanga playing?

Atlético Bucaramanga have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

How are América de Cali playing?

América de Cali have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Atlético Bucaramanga and América de Cali last met?

It ended América de Cali 2, Atlético Bucaramanga 0. In the last 2 meetings Atlético Bucaramanga won 0 and América de Cali won 1.

What is the best bet for Atlético Bucaramanga vs América de Cali?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bucaramanga against América Cali. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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