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Predictions › Colombia › Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Junior
Colombian Primera ASun 4 Oct, 23:10 Colombia time

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Junior prediction

Estadio Alfonso López

Atlético BucaramangaHome
1.50 : 0.98
expected goals
Atlético JuniorAway
49%Bucaramanga
27%Draw
24%Atl. Junior
Eagle safe pickAtlético Bucaramanga or Draw
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Junior is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.32.

Prediction
Atlético Bucaramanga to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Atlético Bucaramanga 1.5, Atlético Junior 1.0
Best bet
Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.32
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético Bucaramanga 49%, the draw 27% and Atlético Junior 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético Bucaramanga took 11 points from their last 5 games and Atlético Junior took 8 from 5. Atlético Bucaramanga come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético Bucaramanga won 2 of their last 8 games at home. Atlético Junior won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético Bucaramanga score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.2. Atlético Junior score 1.4 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Atlético Bucaramanga games and 9 of Atlético Junior games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Atlético Bucaramanga won 0 and Atlético Junior won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Atlético Junior 2, Atlético Bucaramanga 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bucaramangarecent form+4%
  • Atl. Juniorrecent form+1%
  • Bucaramangarest between games-2%
  • Atl. Juniorrest between games-5%
Bucaramanga form W W D W DAtl. Junior form W W L D DHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Junior: Atlético Bucaramanga are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlético Bucaramanga host Atlético Junior in the Colombian Primera A on Sun 4 Oct, 23:10 at Estadio Alfonso López. Our prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Junior is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.32.

Atlético Bucaramanga form

Atlético Bucaramanga have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Atlético Junior form

Atlético Junior have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Atlético Bucaramanga won 0, Atlético Junior won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético Junior 2, Atlético Bucaramanga 0.

Our call

We expect Atlético Bucaramanga to score about 1.5 goals and Atlético Junior about 1.0. That points to Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.32. Our bold bet is Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.5 at 3.78.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BucaramangaAtl. Junior
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws86
Losses68
Goals scored2829
Goals conceded2430
Scored per game1.41.4
Conceded per game1.21.5
Home record2W 5D 1L4W 5D 2L
Away record4W 3D 5L2W 1D 6L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.21
Over 3.5 goals24%4.19
Both teams to score49%2.03
Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw76%1.31
Atlético Junior or Draw51%1.95
Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.527%3.64
Atlético Junior to win and Over 2.512%8.07
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet38%2.66
Atlético Junior clean sheet22%4.50

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
1-011.8%
2-09.5%
2-19.2%
0-09.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Junior?

Our prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Junior is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Junior?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Atlético Bucaramanga to score 1.5 goals and Atlético Junior 1.0.

Will both teams score in Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Junior?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Atlético Bucaramanga last 20 games and 11 of Atlético Junior last 20.

How are Atlético Bucaramanga playing?

Atlético Bucaramanga have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Atlético Junior playing?

Atlético Junior have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Atlético Bucaramanga and Atlético Junior last met?

It ended Atlético Junior 2, Atlético Bucaramanga 0. In the last 1 meeting Atlético Bucaramanga won 0 and Atlético Junior won 1.

What is the best bet for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Junior?

Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bucaramanga against Atl. Junior. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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