Quick answer
Our prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.20.
- Prediction
- Atlético Bucaramanga to win
- Chance
- 59%
- Most likely score
- 1-0
- Expected goals
- Atlético Bucaramanga 1.7, Deportivo Pasto 0.8
- Best bet
- Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.20
- Both teams to score
- 44%
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡ Eagle bold pick
Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.071 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Atlético Bucaramanga 59%, the draw 25% and Deportivo Pasto 16%. The bookmakers agree and make Atlético Bucaramanga the favourite at 1.54.
- 2
Recent formAtlético Bucaramanga took 11 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Pasto took 7 from 5. Atlético Bucaramanga come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayAtlético Bucaramanga won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Deportivo Pasto won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
- 4
GoalsAtlético Bucaramanga score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.2. Deportivo Pasto score 0.8 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Atlético Bucaramanga games and 8 of Deportivo Pasto games in that run.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 2 meetings, Atlético Bucaramanga won 0 and Deportivo Pasto won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Deportivo Pasto 0, Atlético Bucaramanga 0.
- 6
The safest betAtlético Bucaramanga or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.- Bucaramangarecent form+4%
- Pastorecent form+1%
- Bucaramangarest between games-2%
- Pastorest between games-5%
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewAtlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto: Atlético Bucaramanga are favourites
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Atlético Bucaramanga host Deportivo Pasto in the Colombian Primera A on Sat 31 Oct, 01:05 at Estadio Alfonso López. Our prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.20.
Atlético Bucaramanga form
Atlético Bucaramanga have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.
Deportivo Pasto form
Deportivo Pasto have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 2 times in our records. Atlético Bucaramanga won 0, Deportivo Pasto won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Pasto 0, Atlético Bucaramanga 0.
Our call
We expect Atlético Bucaramanga to score about 1.7 goals and Deportivo Pasto about 0.8. That points to Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.5 at 3.07.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against DraftKings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Goals and other markets
Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.
Most likely scores
1-013.7%
2-012.3%
1-111.7%
2-19.4%
0-09.1%
Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.
Questions people ask
Who will win Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.20.
What is the score prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?
1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Atlético Bucaramanga to score 1.7 goals and Deportivo Pasto 0.8.
Will both teams score in Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?
Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Atlético Bucaramanga last 20 games and 8 of Deportivo Pasto last 20.
How are Atlético Bucaramanga playing?
Atlético Bucaramanga have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.
How are Deportivo Pasto playing?
Deportivo Pasto have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.
What happened when Atlético Bucaramanga and Deportivo Pasto last met?
It ended Deportivo Pasto 0, Atlético Bucaramanga 0. In the last 2 meetings Atlético Bucaramanga won 0 and Deportivo Pasto won 1.
What is the best bet for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?
Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.20, with a 84% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bucaramanga against Pasto. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
- 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
- Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
- Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.
Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.
Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.
Kenya
Nigeria
Ghana
South Africa
United Kingdom
United States
India
Tanzania
Uganda
Zambia
Cameroon
Ivory Coast
