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Predictions › Colombia › Atlético Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera ASun 8 Nov, 20:30 Colombia time

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza CEIF prediction

Estadio Alfonso López

Atlético BucaramangaHome
1.71 : 0.78
expected goals
Fortaleza CEIFAway
59%Bucaramanga
25%Draw
16%Fortaleza
Eagle safe pickAtlético Bucaramanga or Draw
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza CEIF is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.19.

Prediction
Atlético Bucaramanga to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Atlético Bucaramanga 1.7, Fortaleza CEIF 0.8
Best bet
Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.19
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.081 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético Bucaramanga 59%, the draw 25% and Fortaleza CEIF 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético Bucaramanga took 5 points from their last 5 games and Fortaleza CEIF took 4 from 5. Atlético Bucaramanga come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético Bucaramanga won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Fortaleza CEIF won 0 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético Bucaramanga score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Fortaleza CEIF score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Atlético Bucaramanga games and 10 of Fortaleza CEIF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Atlético Bucaramanga won 1 and Fortaleza CEIF won 3 with 0 draws. The last one ended Fortaleza CEIF 2, Atlético Bucaramanga 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bucaramangarecent form-1%
  • Fortalezarecent form-3%
  • Bucaramangarest between games-2%
Bucaramanga form L L D D WFortaleza form D L L D DHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza CEIF: Atlético Bucaramanga are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlético Bucaramanga host Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombian Primera A on Sun 8 Nov, 20:30 at Estadio Alfonso López. Our prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza CEIF is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.19.

Atlético Bucaramanga form

Atlético Bucaramanga have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Fortaleza CEIF form

Fortaleza CEIF have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Atlético Bucaramanga won 1, Fortaleza CEIF won 3 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Fortaleza CEIF 2, Atlético Bucaramanga 1.

Our call

We expect Atlético Bucaramanga to score about 1.7 goals and Fortaleza CEIF about 0.8. That points to Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.19. Our bold bet is Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.5 at 3.08.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BucaramangaFortaleza
Games played2020
Wins73
Draws810
Losses57
Goals scored3222
Goals conceded2327
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record3W 6D 0L3W 5D 4L
Away record4W 2D 5L0W 5D 3L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored70%70%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.21
Over 3.5 goals24%4.18
Both teams to score45%2.23
Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw84%1.19
Fortaleza CEIF or Draw41%2.43
Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.533%3.02
Fortaleza CEIF to win and Over 2.58%12.81
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet46%2.18
Fortaleza CEIF clean sheet18%5.50

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.6%
2-012.1%
1-111.7%
2-19.4%
0-09.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlético Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Our prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza CEIF is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza CEIF?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Atlético Bucaramanga to score 1.7 goals and Fortaleza CEIF 0.8.

Will both teams score in Atlético Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Atlético Bucaramanga last 20 games and 14 of Fortaleza CEIF last 20.

How are Atlético Bucaramanga playing?

Atlético Bucaramanga have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, W, newest first.

How are Fortaleza CEIF playing?

Fortaleza CEIF have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Atlético Bucaramanga and Fortaleza CEIF last met?

It ended Fortaleza CEIF 2, Atlético Bucaramanga 1. In the last 4 meetings Atlético Bucaramanga won 1 and Fortaleza CEIF won 3.

What is the best bet for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bucaramanga against Fortaleza. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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