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Predictions › Colombia › Atlético Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogotá
Colombian Primera ASun 20 Sept, 21:05 Colombia time

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogotá prediction

Estadio Alfonso López

Atlético BucaramangaHome
1.94 : 0.74
expected goals
Internacional de BogotáAway
65%Bucaramanga
22%Draw
13%Inter Bogotá
Eagle safe pickAtlético Bucaramanga draw no bet
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogotá is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Atlético Bucaramanga draw no bet at 1.18.

Prediction
Atlético Bucaramanga to win
Chance
65%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Atlético Bucaramanga 1.9, Internacional de Bogotá 0.7
Best bet
Atlético Bucaramanga draw no bet at 1.18
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Atlético Bucaramanga draw no bet
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 2.751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético Bucaramanga 65%, the draw 22% and Internacional de Bogotá 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético Bucaramanga took 7 points from their last 5 games and Internacional de Bogotá took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético Bucaramanga won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Internacional de Bogotá won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético Bucaramanga score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Internacional de Bogotá score 1.2 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Atlético Bucaramanga games and 12 of Internacional de Bogotá games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Atlético Bucaramanga won 1 and Internacional de Bogotá won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Internacional de Bogotá 0, Atlético Bucaramanga 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Atlético Bucaramanga draw no bet has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bucaramangarecent form+1%
  • Inter Bogotárecent form+3%
  • Inter Bogotárest between games-5%
Bucaramanga form D D W D DInter Bogotá form W W D D DHome edge in this league 40% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogotá: Atlético Bucaramanga are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlético Bucaramanga host Internacional de Bogotá in the Colombian Primera A on Sun 20 Sept, 21:05 at Estadio Alfonso López. Our prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogotá is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Atlético Bucaramanga draw no bet at 1.18.

Atlético Bucaramanga form

Atlético Bucaramanga have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, D, newest first.

Internacional de Bogotá form

Internacional de Bogotá have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Atlético Bucaramanga won 1, Internacional de Bogotá won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Internacional de Bogotá 0, Atlético Bucaramanga 0.

Our call

We expect Atlético Bucaramanga to score about 1.9 goals and Internacional de Bogotá about 0.7. That points to Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Atlético Bucaramanga draw no bet at 1.18. Our bold bet is Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.5 at 2.75.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BucaramangaInter Bogotá
Games played2020
Wins54
Draws98
Losses68
Goals scored2324
Goals conceded2134
Scored per game1.11.2
Conceded per game1.11.7
Home record2W 6D 1L4W 4D 3L
Away record3W 3D 5L0W 4D 5L
Clean sheets35%20%
Both teams scored50%65%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%1.99
Over 3.5 goals28%3.55
Both teams to score46%2.20
Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw87%1.15
Internacional de Bogotá or Draw35%2.85
Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.539%2.54
Internacional de Bogotá to win and Over 2.57%15.24
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet48%2.10
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet14%6.94

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.8%
1-012.7%
1-110.5%
2-19.6%
3-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlético Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogotá?

Our prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogotá is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Atlético Bucaramanga draw no bet at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogotá?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Atlético Bucaramanga to score 1.9 goals and Internacional de Bogotá 0.7.

Will both teams score in Atlético Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogotá?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Atlético Bucaramanga last 20 games and 13 of Internacional de Bogotá last 20.

How are Atlético Bucaramanga playing?

Atlético Bucaramanga have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Internacional de Bogotá playing?

Internacional de Bogotá have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Atlético Bucaramanga and Internacional de Bogotá last met?

It ended Internacional de Bogotá 0, Atlético Bucaramanga 0. In the last 2 meetings Atlético Bucaramanga won 1 and Internacional de Bogotá won 0.

What is the best bet for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogotá?

Atlético Bucaramanga draw no bet at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bucaramanga against Inter Bogotá. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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