Predictions › Mexico › Atlético de San Luis vs Atlas

Liga MXSat 31 Oct, 01:00 Mexico time

Atlético de San Luis vs Atlas prediction

Estadio Libertad Financiera

Atlético de San LuisHome

1.33 : 1.50

expected goals

AtlasAway

33%Atl. San Luis

26%Draw

41%Atlas

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlético de San Luis vs Atlas is Atlas to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction: Atlas to win
Chance: 41%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Atlético de San Luis 1.3, Atlas 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score: 58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

12% chanceFair price 8.031 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Atlético de San Luis 33%, the draw 26% and Atlas 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Atlético de San Luis took 10 points from their last 5 games and Atlas took 8 from 5. Atlético de San Luis come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Atlético de San Luis won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Atlas won 7 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Atlético de San Luis score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Atlas score 1.1 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Atlético de San Luis games and 6 of Atlas games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Atlético de San Luis won 1 and Atlas won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Atlas 3, Atlético de San Luis 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Atl. San Luisrecent form+1%
Atl. San Luisrest between games-5%

Atl. San Luis form D D L W WAtlas form D D W D LHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlético de San Luis vs Atlas: Atlas shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlético de San Luis host Atlas in the Liga MX on Sat 31 Oct, 01:00 at Estadio Libertad Financiera. Our prediction for Atlético de San Luis vs Atlas is Atlas to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Atlético de San Luis form

Atlético de San Luis have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Atlas form

Atlas have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Atlético de San Luis won 1, Atlas won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlas 3, Atlético de San Luis 2.

Our call

We expect Atlético de San Luis to score about 1.3 goals and Atlas about 1.5. That points to Atlas to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 8.03.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Atl. San Luis	Atlas
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	8
Draws	6	6
Losses	8	6
Goals scored	26	23
Goals conceded	31	24
Scored per game	1.3	1.1
Conceded per game	1.6	1.2
Home record	3W 3D 5L	1W 6D 3L
Away record	3W 3D 3L	7W 0D 3L
Clean sheets	10%	40%
Both teams scored	70%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	78%	1.28
Over 2.5 goals	54%	1.85
Over 3.5 goals	32%	3.16
Both teams to score	58%	1.72
Atlético de San Luis or Draw	59%	1.68
Atlas or Draw	67%	1.49
Atlético de San Luis to win and Over 2.5	21%	4.84
Atlas to win and Over 2.5	26%	3.86
Atlético de San Luis clean sheet	22%	4.50
Atlas clean sheet	26%	3.80

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.5%

1-28.8%

0-18.1%

2-17.8%

1-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlético de San Luis vs Atlas?

Our prediction for Atlético de San Luis vs Atlas is Atlas to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Atlético de San Luis vs Atlas?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Atlético de San Luis to score 1.3 goals and Atlas 1.5.

Will both teams score in Atlético de San Luis vs Atlas?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Atlético de San Luis last 20 games and 9 of Atlas last 20.

How are Atlético de San Luis playing?

How are Atlas playing?

What happened when Atlético de San Luis and Atlas last met?

It ended Atlas 3, Atlético de San Luis 2. In the last 2 meetings Atlético de San Luis won 1 and Atlas won 1.

What is the best bet for Atlético de San Luis vs Atlas?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atl. San Luis against Atlas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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