Predictions › Mexico › Atlético de San Luis vs Querétaro

Liga MXWed 21 Oct, 01:00 Mexico time

Atlético de San Luis vs Querétaro prediction

Estadio Libertad Financiera

Atlético de San LuisHome

1.06 : 1.35

expected goals

QuerétaroAway

29%Atl. San Luis

29%Draw

42%Queretaro

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlético de San Luis vs Querétaro is Querétaro to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction: Querétaro to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Atlético de San Luis 1.1, Querétaro 1.4
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score: 49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1.312 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.331 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Atlético de San Luis 29%, the draw 29% and Querétaro 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Atlético de San Luis took 9 points from their last 5 games and Querétaro took 13 from 5. Querétaro come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Atlético de San Luis won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Querétaro won 5 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Atlético de San Luis score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Querétaro score 1.3 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Atlético de San Luis games and 8 of Querétaro games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Atlético de San Luis won 1 and Querétaro won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Atlético de San Luis 3, Querétaro 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Atl. San Luisrecent form+1%
Queretarorecent form+4%
Queretarorest between games-5%

Atl. San Luis form W W L L WQueretaro form D W D W WHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlético de San Luis vs Querétaro: Querétaro shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlético de San Luis host Querétaro in the Liga MX on Wed 21 Oct, 01:00 at Estadio Libertad Financiera. Our prediction for Atlético de San Luis vs Querétaro is Querétaro to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Atlético de San Luis form

Atlético de San Luis have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Querétaro form

Querétaro have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Atlético de San Luis won 1, Querétaro won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético de San Luis 3, Querétaro 0.

Our call

We expect Atlético de San Luis to score about 1.1 goals and Querétaro about 1.4. That points to Querétaro to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.33.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Atl. San Luis	Queretaro
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	9
Draws	5	7
Losses	9	4
Goals scored	26	25
Goals conceded	32	19
Scored per game	1.3	1.3
Conceded per game	1.6	0.9
Home record	3W 3D 5L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	3W 2D 4L	5W 4D 1L
Clean sheets	10%	35%
Both teams scored	60%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	70%	1.43
Over 2.5 goals	43%	2.31
Over 3.5 goals	22%	4.48
Both teams to score	49%	2.03
Atlético de San Luis or Draw	58%	1.74
Querétaro or Draw	71%	1.40
Atlético de San Luis to win and Over 2.5	15%	6.72
Querétaro to win and Over 2.5	23%	4.35
Atlético de San Luis clean sheet	26%	3.85
Querétaro clean sheet	35%	2.89

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%

0-111.3%

0-09.8%

1-08.8%

1-28.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlético de San Luis vs Querétaro?

Our prediction for Atlético de San Luis vs Querétaro is Querétaro to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Atlético de San Luis vs Querétaro?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Atlético de San Luis to score 1.1 goals and Querétaro 1.4.

Will both teams score in Atlético de San Luis vs Querétaro?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Atlético de San Luis last 20 games and 11 of Querétaro last 20.

How are Atlético de San Luis playing?

How are Querétaro playing?

What happened when Atlético de San Luis and Querétaro last met?

It ended Atlético de San Luis 3, Querétaro 0. In the last 1 meeting Atlético de San Luis won 1 and Querétaro won 0.

What is the best bet for Atlético de San Luis vs Querétaro?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atl. San Luis against Queretaro. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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