Predictions › Mexico › Atlético de San Luis vs Santos

Liga MXSun 11 Oct, 23:00 Mexico time

Atlético de San Luis vs Santos prediction

Estadio Libertad Financiera

Atlético de San LuisHome

2.03 : 1.39

expected goals

SantosAway

52%Atl. San Luis

23%Draw

25%Santos

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlético de San Luis vs Santos is Atlético de San Luis to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction: Atlético de San Luis to win
Chance: 52%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Atlético de San Luis 2.0, Santos 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score: 66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

84% chanceFair price 1.202 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Atlético de San Luis to win and Over 2.5

37% chanceFair price 2.711 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Atlético de San Luis 52%, the draw 23% and Santos 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Atlético de San Luis took 9 points from their last 5 games and Santos took 10 from 5. Santos come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Atlético de San Luis won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Santos won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Atlético de San Luis score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Santos score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Atlético de San Luis games and 12 of Santos games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Atlético de San Luis won 2 and Santos won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Atlético de San Luis 2, Santos 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Atl. San Luisrecent form+1%
Santosrecent form+3%

Atl. San Luis form W W L L WSantos form W W W L DHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlético de San Luis vs Santos: Atlético de San Luis are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlético de San Luis host Santos in the Liga MX on Sun 11 Oct, 23:00 at Estadio Libertad Financiera. Our prediction for Atlético de San Luis vs Santos is Atlético de San Luis to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Atlético de San Luis form

Atlético de San Luis have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Santos form

Santos have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Atlético de San Luis won 2, Santos won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético de San Luis 2, Santos 0.

Our call

We expect Atlético de San Luis to score about 2.0 goals and Santos about 1.4. That points to Atlético de San Luis to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Atlético de San Luis to win and Over 2.5 at 2.71.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Atl. San Luis	Santos
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	6
Draws	5	3
Losses	9	11
Goals scored	26	23
Goals conceded	32	32
Scored per game	1.3	1.1
Conceded per game	1.6	1.6
Home record	3W 3D 5L	4W 2D 4L
Away record	3W 2D 4L	2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets	10%	15%
Both teams scored	60%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	86%	1.16
Over 2.5 goals	66%	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	45%	2.24
Both teams to score	66%	1.52
Atlético de San Luis or Draw	75%	1.34
Santos or Draw	48%	2.08
Atlético de San Luis to win and Over 2.5	39%	2.56
Santos to win and Over 2.5	18%	5.45
Atlético de San Luis clean sheet	25%	3.99
Santos clean sheet	13%	7.64

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.8%

2-19.4%

2-06.8%

2-26.5%

1-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlético de San Luis vs Santos?

Our prediction for Atlético de San Luis vs Santos is Atlético de San Luis to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Atlético de San Luis vs Santos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Atlético de San Luis to score 2.0 goals and Santos 1.4.

Will both teams score in Atlético de San Luis vs Santos?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Atlético de San Luis last 20 games and 10 of Santos last 20.

How are Atlético de San Luis playing?

How are Santos playing?

What happened when Atlético de San Luis and Santos last met?

It ended Atlético de San Luis 2, Santos 0. In the last 2 meetings Atlético de San Luis won 2 and Santos won 0.

What is the best bet for Atlético de San Luis vs Santos?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atl. San Luis against Santos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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