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Predictions › Peru › Atlético Grau vs ADT
Peruvian Liga 1Fri 23 Oct, 20:15 Peru time

Atlético Grau vs ADT prediction

Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo

Atlético GrauHome
1.50 : 0.59
expected goals
ADTAway
59%Atlético Grau
27%Draw
14%ADT
Eagle safe pickAtlético Grau or Draw
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlético Grau vs ADT is Atlético Grau to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Atlético Grau or Draw at 1.19.

Prediction
Atlético Grau to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Atlético Grau 1.5, ADT 0.6
Best bet
Atlético Grau or Draw at 1.19
Both teams to score
35%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Atlético Grau or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Atlético Grau to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.981 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético Grau 59%, the draw 27% and ADT 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético Grau took 7 points from their last 5 games and ADT took 4 from 5. Atlético Grau come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético Grau won 6 of their last 10 games at home. ADT won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético Grau score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. ADT score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Atlético Grau games and 11 of ADT games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Atlético Grau won 0 and ADT won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended ADT 1, Atlético Grau 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Atlético Grau or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • ADTrecent form-3%
Atlético Grau form D L W L WADT form D W L L LHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlético Grau vs ADT: Atlético Grau are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlético Grau host ADT in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Fri 23 Oct, 20:15 at Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo. Our prediction for Atlético Grau vs ADT is Atlético Grau to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Atlético Grau or Draw at 1.19.

Atlético Grau form

Atlético Grau have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

ADT form

ADT have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Atlético Grau won 0, ADT won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished ADT 1, Atlético Grau 0.

Our call

We expect Atlético Grau to score about 1.5 goals and ADT about 0.6. That points to Atlético Grau to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Atlético Grau or Draw at 1.19. Our bold bet is Atlético Grau to win and Over 2.5 at 3.98.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Atlético GrauADT
Games played2020
Wins84
Draws35
Losses911
Goals scored2322
Goals conceded2333
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game1.11.6
Home record6W 1D 3L4W 2D 5L
Away record2W 2D 6L0W 3D 6L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored40%55%
Over 2.5 goals40%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.60
Over 2.5 goals35%2.88
Over 3.5 goals16%6.28
Both teams to score35%2.82
Atlético Grau or Draw86%1.16
ADT or Draw41%2.42
Atlético Grau to win and Over 2.527%3.72
ADT to win and Over 2.55%19.48
Atlético Grau clean sheet55%1.81
ADT clean sheet22%4.46

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-017.9%
2-013.8%
0-013.0%
1-111.7%
2-18.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlético Grau vs ADT?

Our prediction for Atlético Grau vs ADT is Atlético Grau to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Atlético Grau or Draw at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Atlético Grau vs ADT?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 0-0. We expect Atlético Grau to score 1.5 goals and ADT 0.6.

Will both teams score in Atlético Grau vs ADT?

Both teams to score has a 35% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Atlético Grau last 20 games and 11 of ADT last 20.

How are Atlético Grau playing?

Atlético Grau have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are ADT playing?

ADT have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Atlético Grau and ADT last met?

It ended ADT 1, Atlético Grau 0. In the last 1 meeting Atlético Grau won 0 and ADT won 1.

What is the best bet for Atlético Grau vs ADT?

Atlético Grau or Draw at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atlético Grau against ADT. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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