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Predictions › Peru › Atlético Grau vs Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 Peru time

Atlético Grau vs Cusco FC prediction

Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo

Atlético GrauHome
1.48 : 0.90
expected goals
Cusco FCAway
50%Atlético Grau
28%Draw
22%Cusco
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlético Grau vs Cusco FC is Atlético Grau to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
Atlético Grau to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Atlético Grau 1.5, Cusco FC 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Atlético Grau to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético Grau 50%, the draw 28% and Cusco FC 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético Grau took 5 points from their last 5 games and Cusco FC took 6 from 5. Cusco FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético Grau won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Cusco FC won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético Grau score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Cusco FC score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Atlético Grau games and 13 of Cusco FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Atlético Grau won 0 and Cusco FC won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Cusco FC 1, Atlético Grau 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Atlético Graurecent form-1%
  • Cuscorecent form-3%
Atlético Grau form D L D L WCusco form D L L W LHome edge in this league 45% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlético Grau vs Cusco FC: Atlético Grau are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlético Grau host Cusco FC in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo. Our prediction for Atlético Grau vs Cusco FC is Atlético Grau to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Atlético Grau form

Atlético Grau have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Cusco FC form

Cusco FC have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Atlético Grau won 0, Cusco FC won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Cusco FC 1, Atlético Grau 0.

Our call

We expect Atlético Grau to score about 1.5 goals and Cusco FC about 0.9. That points to Atlético Grau to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Atlético Grau to win and Over 2.5 at 3.85.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Atlético GrauCusco
Games played2020
Wins89
Draws32
Losses99
Goals scored2331
Goals conceded2329
Scored per game1.11.6
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record6W 2D 3L6W 2D 3L
Away record2W 1D 6L3W 0D 6L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored45%70%
Over 2.5 goals40%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.44
Over 2.5 goals42%2.36
Over 3.5 goals22%4.64
Both teams to score46%2.16
Atlético Grau or Draw78%1.28
Cusco FC or Draw50%2.00
Atlético Grau to win and Over 2.527%3.73
Cusco FC to win and Over 2.511%9.31
Atlético Grau clean sheet41%2.45
Cusco FC clean sheet23%4.38

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-013.0%
2-010.2%
0-010.1%
2-19.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlético Grau vs Cusco FC?

Our prediction for Atlético Grau vs Cusco FC is Atlético Grau to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Atlético Grau vs Cusco FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Atlético Grau to score 1.5 goals and Cusco FC 0.9.

Will both teams score in Atlético Grau vs Cusco FC?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Atlético Grau last 20 games and 14 of Cusco FC last 20.

How are Atlético Grau playing?

Atlético Grau have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Cusco FC playing?

Cusco FC have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Atlético Grau and Cusco FC last met?

It ended Cusco FC 1, Atlético Grau 0. In the last 2 meetings Atlético Grau won 0 and Cusco FC won 2.

What is the best bet for Atlético Grau vs Cusco FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atlético Grau against Cusco. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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