Predictions › Peru › Atlético Grau vs Los Chankas

Peruvian Liga 1Thu 8 Oct, 20:30 Peru time

Atlético Grau vs Los Chankas prediction

Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo

Atlético GrauHome

1.83 : 0.61

expected goals

Los ChankasAway

66%Atlético Grau

23%Draw

11%Los Chankas

Eagle safe pickAtlético Grau draw no bet

1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlético Grau vs Los Chankas is Atlético Grau to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Atlético Grau draw no bet at 1.20.

Prediction: Atlético Grau to win
Chance: 66%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Atlético Grau 1.8, Los Chankas 0.6
Best bet: Atlético Grau draw no bet at 1.20
Both teams to score: 39%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Atlético Grau draw no bet

83% chanceFair price 1.202 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Atlético Grau to win and Over 2.5

34% chanceFair price 2.951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Atlético Grau 66%, the draw 23% and Los Chankas 11%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Atlético Grau took 9 points from their last 5 games and Los Chankas took 0 from 5. Atlético Grau come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Atlético Grau won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Los Chankas won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Atlético Grau score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Los Chankas score 1.2 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Atlético Grau games and 12 of Los Chankas games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Atlético Grau won 0 and Los Chankas won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Los Chankas 2, Atlético Grau 0.
6
The safest bet
Atlético Grau draw no bet has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Atlético Graurecent form+1%
Los Chankasrecent form-7%

Atlético Grau form L W L W WLos Chankas form L L L L LHome edge in this league 45% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlético Grau vs Los Chankas: Atlético Grau are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlético Grau host Los Chankas in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Thu 8 Oct, 20:30 at Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo. Our prediction for Atlético Grau vs Los Chankas is Atlético Grau to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Atlético Grau draw no bet at 1.20.

Atlético Grau form

Atlético Grau have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Los Chankas form

Los Chankas have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Atlético Grau won 0, Los Chankas won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Los Chankas 2, Atlético Grau 0.

Our call

We expect Atlético Grau to score about 1.8 goals and Los Chankas about 0.6. That points to Atlético Grau to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Atlético Grau draw no bet at 1.20. Our bold bet is Atlético Grau to win and Over 2.5 at 2.95.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Atlético Grau	Los Chankas
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	8
Draws	3	3
Losses	9	9
Goals scored	23	24
Goals conceded	23	38
Scored per game	1.1	1.2
Conceded per game	1.1	1.9
Home record	6W 1D 3L	6W 1D 4L
Away record	2W 2D 6L	2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	30%	25%
Both teams scored	40%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	71%	1.42
Over 2.5 goals	44%	2.27
Over 3.5 goals	23%	4.37
Both teams to score	39%	2.58
Atlético Grau or Draw	89%	1.12
Los Chankas or Draw	34%	2.96
Atlético Grau to win and Over 2.5	36%	2.76
Los Chankas to win and Over 2.5	5%	21.14
Atlético Grau clean sheet	54%	1.83
Los Chankas clean sheet	16%	6.23

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-015.4%

2-014.6%

1-110.3%

0-09.3%

3-08.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlético Grau vs Los Chankas?

Our prediction for Atlético Grau vs Los Chankas is Atlético Grau to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Atlético Grau draw no bet at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Atlético Grau vs Los Chankas?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Atlético Grau to score 1.8 goals and Los Chankas 0.6.

Will both teams score in Atlético Grau vs Los Chankas?

Both teams to score has a 39% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Atlético Grau last 20 games and 9 of Los Chankas last 20.

How are Atlético Grau playing?

How are Los Chankas playing?

What happened when Atlético Grau and Los Chankas last met?

It ended Los Chankas 2, Atlético Grau 0. In the last 1 meeting Atlético Grau won 0 and Los Chankas won 1.

What is the best bet for Atlético Grau vs Los Chankas?

Atlético Grau draw no bet at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atlético Grau against Los Chankas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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