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Predictions › Colombia › Atlético Junior vs Águilas Doradas
Colombian Primera ASat 24 Oct, 01:10 Colombia time

Atlético Junior vs Águilas Doradas prediction

Romelio Martínez

Atlético JuniorHome
1.63 : 1.09
expected goals
Águilas DoradasAway
49%Atl. Junior
26%Draw
25%Águilas Doradas
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlético Junior vs Águilas Doradas is Atlético Junior to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Atlético Junior to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Atlético Junior 1.6, Águilas Doradas 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Atlético Junior to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético Junior 49%, the draw 26% and Águilas Doradas 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético Junior took 7 points from their last 5 games and Águilas Doradas took 5 from 5. Atlético Junior come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético Junior won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Águilas Doradas won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético Junior score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Águilas Doradas score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Atlético Junior games and 11 of Águilas Doradas games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Atlético Junior won 1 and Águilas Doradas won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Águilas Doradas 0, Atlético Junior 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Águilas Doradasrecent form-1%
  • Águilas Doradasrest between games-5%
Atl. Junior form D L L W WÁguilas Doradas form D D W L LHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlético Junior vs Águilas Doradas: Atlético Junior are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlético Junior host Águilas Doradas in the Colombian Primera A on Sat 24 Oct, 01:10 at Romelio Martínez. Our prediction for Atlético Junior vs Águilas Doradas is Atlético Junior to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Atlético Junior form

Atlético Junior have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Águilas Doradas form

Águilas Doradas have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Atlético Junior won 1, Águilas Doradas won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Águilas Doradas 0, Atlético Junior 3.

Our call

We expect Atlético Junior to score about 1.6 goals and Águilas Doradas about 1.1. That points to Atlético Junior to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Atlético Junior to win and Over 2.5 at 3.54.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Atl. JuniorÁguilas Doradas
Games played2020
Wins56
Draws78
Losses86
Goals scored2925
Goals conceded3231
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record3W 6D 1L4W 5D 1L
Away record2W 1D 7L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets20%10%
Both teams scored65%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.95
Over 3.5 goals29%3.43
Both teams to score54%1.85
Atlético Junior or Draw75%1.33
Águilas Doradas or Draw51%1.97
Atlético Junior to win and Over 2.530%3.28
Águilas Doradas to win and Over 2.514%6.96
Atlético Junior clean sheet34%2.98
Águilas Doradas clean sheet20%5.11

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-010.0%
2-19.5%
2-08.7%
0-07.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlético Junior vs Águilas Doradas?

Our prediction for Atlético Junior vs Águilas Doradas is Atlético Junior to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Atlético Junior vs Águilas Doradas?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Atlético Junior to score 1.6 goals and Águilas Doradas 1.1.

Will both teams score in Atlético Junior vs Águilas Doradas?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Atlético Junior last 20 games and 13 of Águilas Doradas last 20.

How are Atlético Junior playing?

Atlético Junior have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Águilas Doradas playing?

Águilas Doradas have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Atlético Junior and Águilas Doradas last met?

It ended Águilas Doradas 0, Atlético Junior 3. In the last 1 meeting Atlético Junior won 1 and Águilas Doradas won 0.

What is the best bet for Atlético Junior vs Águilas Doradas?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atl. Junior against Águilas Doradas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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