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Predictions › Colombia › Atlético Junior vs Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera ASun 8 Nov, 23:10 Colombia time

Atlético Junior vs Cúcuta Deportivo prediction

Romelio Martínez

Atlético JuniorHome
1.98 : 0.93
expected goals
Cúcuta DeportivoAway
61%Atl. Junior
22%Draw
16%Cúcuta
Eagle safe pickAtlético Junior or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlético Junior vs Cúcuta Deportivo is Atlético Junior to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Atlético Junior or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
Atlético Junior to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Atlético Junior 2.0, Cúcuta Deportivo 0.9
Best bet
Atlético Junior or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Atlético Junior or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Atlético Junior to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 2.511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético Junior 61%, the draw 22% and Cúcuta Deportivo 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético Junior took 7 points from their last 5 games and Cúcuta Deportivo took 9 from 5. Cúcuta Deportivo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético Junior won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Cúcuta Deportivo won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético Junior score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Cúcuta Deportivo score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Atlético Junior games and 9 of Cúcuta Deportivo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Atlético Junior won 0 and Cúcuta Deportivo won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Cúcuta Deportivo 1, Atlético Junior 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Atlético Junior or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Atl. Juniorrecent form+1%
  • Cúcutarecent form+3%
  • Atl. Juniorrest between games-2%
  • Cúcutarest between games-2%
Atl. Junior form D W D D DCúcuta form D L W W WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlético Junior vs Cúcuta Deportivo: Atlético Junior are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlético Junior host Cúcuta Deportivo in the Colombian Primera A on Sun 8 Nov, 23:10 at Romelio Martínez. Our prediction for Atlético Junior vs Cúcuta Deportivo is Atlético Junior to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Atlético Junior or Draw at 1.20.

Atlético Junior form

Atlético Junior have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Cúcuta Deportivo form

Cúcuta Deportivo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Atlético Junior won 0, Cúcuta Deportivo won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Cúcuta Deportivo 1, Atlético Junior 1.

Our call

We expect Atlético Junior to score about 2.0 goals and Cúcuta Deportivo about 0.9. That points to Atlético Junior to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Atlético Junior or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Atlético Junior to win and Over 2.5 at 2.51.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Atl. JuniorCúcuta
Games played2020
Wins47
Draws84
Losses89
Goals scored2521
Goals conceded2932
Scored per game1.31.1
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record3W 6D 1L5W 3D 2L
Away record1W 2D 7L2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored60%45%
Over 2.5 goals45%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals55%1.80
Over 3.5 goals33%3.02
Both teams to score53%1.90
Atlético Junior or Draw84%1.20
Cúcuta Deportivo or Draw39%2.58
Atlético Junior to win and Over 2.540%2.48
Cúcuta Deportivo to win and Over 2.510%10.45
Atlético Junior clean sheet40%2.53
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet14%7.21

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.7%
1-110.7%
1-010.2%
2-19.9%
3-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlético Junior vs Cúcuta Deportivo?

Our prediction for Atlético Junior vs Cúcuta Deportivo is Atlético Junior to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Atlético Junior or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Atlético Junior vs Cúcuta Deportivo?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-0. We expect Atlético Junior to score 2.0 goals and Cúcuta Deportivo 0.9.

Will both teams score in Atlético Junior vs Cúcuta Deportivo?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Atlético Junior last 20 games and 9 of Cúcuta Deportivo last 20.

How are Atlético Junior playing?

Atlético Junior have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, D, newest first.

How are Cúcuta Deportivo playing?

Cúcuta Deportivo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Atlético Junior and Cúcuta Deportivo last met?

It ended Cúcuta Deportivo 1, Atlético Junior 1. In the last 1 meeting Atlético Junior won 0 and Cúcuta Deportivo won 0.

What is the best bet for Atlético Junior vs Cúcuta Deportivo?

Atlético Junior or Draw at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atl. Junior against Cúcuta. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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