Quick answer
Our prediction for Atlético Junior vs Deportivo Pereira is Atlético Junior to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Atlético Junior draw no bet at 1.20.
- Prediction
- Atlético Junior to win
- Chance
- 68%
- Most likely score
- 2-0
- Expected goals
- Atlético Junior 2.0, Deportivo Pereira 0.7
- Best bet
- Atlético Junior draw no bet at 1.20
- Both teams to score
- 44%
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Atlético Junior draw no bet
84% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡ Eagle bold pick
Atlético Junior to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 2.521 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Atlético Junior 68%, the draw 21% and Deportivo Pereira 11%. The bookmakers agree and make Atlético Junior the favourite at 1.30.
- 2
Recent formAtlético Junior took 7 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Pereira took 2 from 5. Atlético Junior come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayAtlético Junior won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Deportivo Pereira won 1 of their last 11 on the road.
- 4
GoalsAtlético Junior score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.6. Deportivo Pereira score 0.7 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Atlético Junior games and 9 of Deportivo Pereira games in that run.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 2 meetings, Atlético Junior won 2 and Deportivo Pereira won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Deportivo Pereira 2, Atlético Junior 3.
- 6
The safest betAtlético Junior draw no bet has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.- Pereirarecent form-4%
- Pereirarest between games-5%
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewAtlético Junior vs Deportivo Pereira: Atlético Junior are favourites
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Atlético Junior host Deportivo Pereira in the Colombian Primera A on Wed 14 Oct, 21:30 at Romelio Martínez. Our prediction for Atlético Junior vs Deportivo Pereira is Atlético Junior to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Atlético Junior draw no bet at 1.20.
Atlético Junior form
Atlético Junior have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, D, newest first.
Deportivo Pereira form
Deportivo Pereira have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 2 times in our records. Atlético Junior won 2, Deportivo Pereira won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Pereira 2, Atlético Junior 3.
Our call
We expect Atlético Junior to score about 2.0 goals and Deportivo Pereira about 0.7. That points to Atlético Junior to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Atlético Junior draw no bet at 1.20. Our bold bet is Atlético Junior to win and Over 2.5 at 2.52.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against DraftKings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Goals and other markets
Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.
Most likely scores
2-013.4%
1-012.6%
1-19.8%
2-19.4%
3-09.1%
Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.
Questions people ask
Who will win Atlético Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our prediction for Atlético Junior vs Deportivo Pereira is Atlético Junior to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Atlético Junior draw no bet at 1.20.
What is the score prediction for Atlético Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?
2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Atlético Junior to score 2.0 goals and Deportivo Pereira 0.7.
Will both teams score in Atlético Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?
Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Atlético Junior last 20 games and 8 of Deportivo Pereira last 20.
How are Atlético Junior playing?
Atlético Junior have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, D, newest first.
How are Deportivo Pereira playing?
Deportivo Pereira have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.
What happened when Atlético Junior and Deportivo Pereira last met?
It ended Deportivo Pereira 2, Atlético Junior 3. In the last 2 meetings Atlético Junior won 2 and Deportivo Pereira won 0.
What is the best bet for Atlético Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?
Atlético Junior draw no bet at 1.20, with a 84% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atl. Junior against Pereira. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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