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Predictions › Colombia › Atlético Junior vs Internacional de Bogotá
Colombian Primera ASat 10 Oct, 23:10 Colombia time

Atlético Junior vs Internacional de Bogotá prediction

Romelio Martínez

Atlético JuniorHome
1.74 : 0.91
expected goals
Internacional de BogotáAway
56%Atl. Junior
25%Draw
19%Inter Bogotá
Eagle safe pickAtlético Junior or Draw
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlético Junior vs Internacional de Bogotá is Atlético Junior to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Atlético Junior or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction
Atlético Junior to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Atlético Junior 1.7, Internacional de Bogotá 0.9
Best bet
Atlético Junior or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Atlético Junior or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Atlético Junior to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.071 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético Junior 56%, the draw 25% and Internacional de Bogotá 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético Junior took 7 points from their last 5 games and Internacional de Bogotá took 5 from 5. Atlético Junior come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético Junior won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Internacional de Bogotá won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético Junior score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.6. Internacional de Bogotá score 1.2 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Atlético Junior games and 11 of Internacional de Bogotá games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Atlético Junior won 1 and Internacional de Bogotá won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Internacional de Bogotá 0, Atlético Junior 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Atlético Junior or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Atl. Juniorrest between games-5%
Atl. Junior form L W W L DInter Bogotá form D L L W WHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlético Junior vs Internacional de Bogotá: Atlético Junior are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlético Junior host Internacional de Bogotá in the Colombian Primera A on Sat 10 Oct, 23:10 at Romelio Martínez. Our prediction for Atlético Junior vs Internacional de Bogotá is Atlético Junior to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Atlético Junior or Draw at 1.27.

Atlético Junior form

Atlético Junior have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Internacional de Bogotá form

Internacional de Bogotá have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Atlético Junior won 1, Internacional de Bogotá won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Internacional de Bogotá 0, Atlético Junior 1.

Our call

We expect Atlético Junior to score about 1.7 goals and Internacional de Bogotá about 0.9. That points to Atlético Junior to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Atlético Junior or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Atlético Junior to win and Over 2.5 at 3.07.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Atl. JuniorInter Bogotá
Games played2020
Wins64
Draws67
Losses89
Goals scored3024
Goals conceded3134
Scored per game1.51.2
Conceded per game1.61.7
Home record4W 5D 2L4W 2D 4L
Away record2W 1D 6L0W 5D 5L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored60%65%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.03
Over 3.5 goals27%3.64
Both teams to score50%2.01
Atlético Junior or Draw81%1.23
Internacional de Bogotá or Draw44%2.30
Atlético Junior to win and Over 2.534%2.94
Internacional de Bogotá to win and Over 2.510%9.95
Atlético Junior clean sheet40%2.47
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet18%5.71

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
1-011.7%
2-010.7%
2-19.7%
0-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlético Junior vs Internacional de Bogotá?

Our prediction for Atlético Junior vs Internacional de Bogotá is Atlético Junior to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Atlético Junior or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Atlético Junior vs Internacional de Bogotá?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Atlético Junior to score 1.7 goals and Internacional de Bogotá 0.9.

Will both teams score in Atlético Junior vs Internacional de Bogotá?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Atlético Junior last 20 games and 13 of Internacional de Bogotá last 20.

How are Atlético Junior playing?

Atlético Junior have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, D, newest first.

How are Internacional de Bogotá playing?

Internacional de Bogotá have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Atlético Junior and Internacional de Bogotá last met?

It ended Internacional de Bogotá 0, Atlético Junior 1. In the last 2 meetings Atlético Junior won 1 and Internacional de Bogotá won 0.

What is the best bet for Atlético Junior vs Internacional de Bogotá?

Atlético Junior or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atl. Junior against Inter Bogotá. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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