Predictions › Argentina › Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors

Argentina Liga ProfesionalTue 3 Nov, 00:15 Argentina time

Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors prediction

Monumental Presidente José Fierro

Atlético TucumánHome

0.84 : 1.11

expected goals

Argentinos JuniorsAway

27%Atl Tucumán

32%Draw

41%Argentinos

Eagle safe pickArgentinos Juniors or Draw

1.34

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors is Argentinos Juniors to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Argentinos Juniors or Draw at 1.34.

Prediction: Argentinos Juniors to win
Chance: 41%
Most likely score: 0-1
Expected goals: Atlético Tucumán 0.8, Argentinos Juniors 1.1
Best bet: Argentinos Juniors or Draw at 1.34
Both teams to score: 39%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Argentinos Juniors or Draw

75% chanceFair price 1.341 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-1

15% chanceFair price 6.671 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Atlético Tucumán 27%, the draw 32% and Argentinos Juniors 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Atlético Tucumán took 4 points from their last 5 games and Argentinos Juniors took 8 from 5. Argentinos Juniors come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Atlético Tucumán won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Argentinos Juniors won 4 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Atlético Tucumán score 0.8 goals a game and let in 0.8. Argentinos Juniors score 1.3 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Atlético Tucumán games and 7 of Argentinos Juniors games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Atlético Tucumán won 0 and Argentinos Juniors won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Argentinos Juniors 1, Atlético Tucumán 0.
6
The safest bet
Argentinos Juniors or Draw has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Atl Tucumánrecent form-4%
Atl Tucumánrest between games-5%

Atl Tucumán form D L D L LArgentinos form D D W L DHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors: Argentinos Juniors shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlético Tucumán host Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Tue 3 Nov, 00:15 at Monumental Presidente José Fierro. Our prediction for Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors is Argentinos Juniors to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Argentinos Juniors or Draw at 1.34.

Atlético Tucumán form

Atlético Tucumán have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Argentinos Juniors form

Argentinos Juniors have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Atlético Tucumán won 0, Argentinos Juniors won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Argentinos Juniors 1, Atlético Tucumán 0.

Our call

We expect Atlético Tucumán to score about 0.8 goals and Argentinos Juniors about 1.1. That points to Argentinos Juniors to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Argentinos Juniors or Draw at 1.34. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-1 at 6.67.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Atl Tucumán	Argentinos
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	11
Draws	7	5
Losses	7	4
Goals scored	17	25
Goals conceded	17	18
Scored per game	0.8	1.3
Conceded per game	0.8	0.9
Home record	1W 5D 4L	7W 2D 0L
Away record	5W 2D 3L	4W 3D 4L
Clean sheets	50%	35%
Both teams scored	40%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	30%	35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	59%	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	31%	3.22
Over 3.5 goals	13%	7.43
Both teams to score	39%	2.57
Atlético Tucumán or Draw	59%	1.69
Argentinos Juniors or Draw	73%	1.36
Atlético Tucumán to win and Over 2.5	10%	9.58
Argentinos Juniors to win and Over 2.5	17%	5.81
Atlético Tucumán clean sheet	33%	3.05
Argentinos Juniors clean sheet	43%	2.32

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-115.0%

0-015.0%

1-114.1%

1-011.1%

0-28.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors?

What is the score prediction for Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Atlético Tucumán to score 0.8 goals and Argentinos Juniors 1.1.

Will both teams score in Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors?

Both teams to score has a 39% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Atlético Tucumán last 20 games and 10 of Argentinos Juniors last 20.

How are Atlético Tucumán playing?

How are Argentinos Juniors playing?

What happened when Atlético Tucumán and Argentinos Juniors last met?

It ended Argentinos Juniors 1, Atlético Tucumán 0. In the last 1 meeting Atlético Tucumán won 0 and Argentinos Juniors won 1.

What is the best bet for Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors?

Argentinos Juniors or Draw at 1.34, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atl Tucumán against Argentinos . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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