Quick answer
Our prediction for Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central is Atlético Tucumán to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Atlético Tucumán or Draw at 1.32.
- Prediction
- Atlético Tucumán to win
- Chance
- 41%
- Most likely score
- 0-0
- Expected goals
- Atlético Tucumán 1.0, Barracas Central 0.7
- Best bet
- Atlético Tucumán or Draw at 1.32
- Both teams to score
- 34%
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Atlético Tucumán or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡ Eagle bold pick
Correct score 0-0
18% chanceFair price 5.511 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Atlético Tucumán 41%, the draw 34% and Barracas Central 24%. The bookmakers agree and make Atlético Tucumán the favourite at 1.95.
- 2
Recent formAtlético Tucumán took 5 points from their last 5 games and Barracas Central took 3 from 5. Atlético Tucumán come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayAtlético Tucumán won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Barracas Central won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
- 4
GoalsAtlético Tucumán score 0.7 goals a game and let in 0.9. Barracas Central score 0.8 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Atlético Tucumán games and 7 of Barracas Central games in that run.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 1 meeting, Atlético Tucumán won 0 and Barracas Central won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Barracas Central 2, Atlético Tucumán 1.
- 6
The safest betAtlético Tucumán or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewAtlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central: Atlético Tucumán shade it
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Atlético Tucumán host Barracas Central in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 3 Oct, 20:00 at Monumental Presidente José Fierro. Our prediction for Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central is Atlético Tucumán to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Atlético Tucumán or Draw at 1.32.
Atlético Tucumán form
Atlético Tucumán have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, D, newest first.
Barracas Central form
Barracas Central have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 1 time in our records. Atlético Tucumán won 0, Barracas Central won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Barracas Central 2, Atlético Tucumán 1.
Our call
We expect Atlético Tucumán to score about 1.0 goals and Barracas Central about 0.7. That points to Atlético Tucumán to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Atlético Tucumán or Draw at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 5.51.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against DraftKings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Goals and other markets
Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.
Most likely scores
0-018.1%
1-017.2%
1-113.7%
0-111.7%
2-09.2%
Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.
Questions people ask
Who will win Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central?
Our prediction for Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central is Atlético Tucumán to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Atlético Tucumán or Draw at 1.32.
What is the score prediction for Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central?
0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Atlético Tucumán to score 1.0 goals and Barracas Central 0.7.
Will both teams score in Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central?
Both teams to score has a 34% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Atlético Tucumán last 20 games and 10 of Barracas Central last 20.
How are Atlético Tucumán playing?
Atlético Tucumán have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, D, newest first.
How are Barracas Central playing?
Barracas Central have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.
What happened when Atlético Tucumán and Barracas Central last met?
It ended Barracas Central 2, Atlético Tucumán 1. In the last 1 meeting Atlético Tucumán won 0 and Barracas Central won 1.
What is the best bet for Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central?
Atlético Tucumán or Draw at 1.32, with a 76% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atl Tucumán against Barracas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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- Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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