Predictions › Argentina › Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central

Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 17 Oct, 23:00 Argentina time

Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central prediction

Monumental Presidente José Fierro

Atlético TucumánHome

0.80 : 1.22

expected goals

Rosario CentralAway

23%Atl Tucumán

31%Draw

45%Rosario Central

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central is Rosario Central to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction: Rosario Central to win
Chance: 45%
Most likely score: 0-1
Expected goals: Atlético Tucumán 0.8, Rosario Central 1.2
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score: 39%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.212 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-1

15% chanceFair price 6.451 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Atlético Tucumán 23%, the draw 31% and Rosario Central 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Atlético Tucumán took 4 points from their last 5 games and Rosario Central took 8 from 5. Rosario Central come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Atlético Tucumán won 1 of their last 11 games at home. Rosario Central won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Atlético Tucumán score 0.8 goals a game and let in 0.9. Rosario Central score 1.1 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Atlético Tucumán games and 7 of Rosario Central games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Atlético Tucumán won 0 and Rosario Central won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Rosario Central 2, Atlético Tucumán 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Atl Tucumánrecent form-1%
Rosario Centralrecent form+4%
Rosario Centralrest between games-2%

Atl Tucumán form L L W L WRosario Central form D W W W DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central: Rosario Central are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlético Tucumán host Rosario Central in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 17 Oct, 23:00 at Monumental Presidente José Fierro. Our prediction for Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central is Rosario Central to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Atlético Tucumán form

Atlético Tucumán have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Rosario Central form

Rosario Central have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Atlético Tucumán won 0, Rosario Central won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Rosario Central 2, Atlético Tucumán 1.

Our call

We expect Atlético Tucumán to score about 0.8 goals and Rosario Central about 1.2. That points to Rosario Central to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-1 at 6.45.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Atl Tucumán	Rosario Central
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	9
Draws	7	6
Losses	8	5
Goals scored	15	23
Goals conceded	19	15
Scored per game	0.8	1.1
Conceded per game	0.9	0.8
Home record	1W 6D 4L	6W 4D 1L
Away record	4W 1D 4L	3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets	45%	40%
Both teams scored	40%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	35%	35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	61%	1.65
Over 2.5 goals	33%	3.06
Over 3.5 goals	15%	6.89
Both teams to score	39%	2.54
Atlético Tucumán or Draw	55%	1.83
Rosario Central or Draw	77%	1.31
Atlético Tucumán to win and Over 2.5	9%	10.74
Rosario Central to win and Over 2.5	20%	5.03
Atlético Tucumán clean sheet	30%	3.38
Rosario Central clean sheet	45%	2.21

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-115.5%

0-014.1%

1-113.7%

0-29.9%

1-09.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central?

Our prediction for Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central is Rosario Central to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Atlético Tucumán to score 0.8 goals and Rosario Central 1.2.

Will both teams score in Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central?

Both teams to score has a 39% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Atlético Tucumán last 20 games and 9 of Rosario Central last 20.

How are Atlético Tucumán playing?

How are Rosario Central playing?

What happened when Atlético Tucumán and Rosario Central last met?

It ended Rosario Central 2, Atlético Tucumán 1. In the last 1 meeting Atlético Tucumán won 0 and Rosario Central won 1.

What is the best bet for Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atl Tucumán against Rosario Central. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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