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Predictions › Greece › Atromitos vs AEK Athens
Greek Super LeagueSat 17 Oct, 16:30 Greece time

Atromitos vs AEK Athens prediction

Peristeri Stadium

AtromitosHome
0.95 : 1.65
expected goals
AEK AthensAway
21%Atromitos
26%Draw
53%AEK Athens
Eagle safe pickAEK Athens or Draw
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atromitos vs AEK Athens is AEK Athens to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is AEK Athens or Draw at 1.30.

Prediction
AEK Athens to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Atromitos 0.9, AEK Athens 1.6
Best bet
AEK Athens or Draw at 1.30
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

AEK Athens or Draw
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AEK Athens to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.221 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atromitos 21%, the draw 26% and AEK Athens 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atromitos took 2 points from their last 5 games and AEK Athens took 11 from 5. AEK Athens come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atromitos won 4 of their last 10 games at home. AEK Athens won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atromitos score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. AEK Athens score 1.9 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Atromitos games and 11 of AEK Athens games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Atromitos won 0 and AEK Athens won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Atromitos 2, AEK Athens 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    AEK Athens or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Atromitosrecent form-4%
  • AEK Athensrecent form+4%
Atromitos form L D D L LAEK Athens form W D W W DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atromitos vs AEK Athens: AEK Athens are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atromitos host AEK Athens in the Greek Super League on Sat 17 Oct, 16:30 at Peristeri Stadium. Our prediction for Atromitos vs AEK Athens is AEK Athens to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is AEK Athens or Draw at 1.30.

Atromitos form

Atromitos have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

AEK Athens form

AEK Athens have 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Atromitos won 0, AEK Athens won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Atromitos 2, AEK Athens 2.

Our call

We expect Atromitos to score about 0.9 goals and AEK Athens about 1.6. That points to AEK Athens to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is AEK Athens or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is AEK Athens to win and Over 2.5 at 3.22.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AtromitosAEK Athens
Games played2020
Wins711
Draws67
Losses72
Goals scored3237
Goals conceded2316
Scored per game1.61.9
Conceded per game1.10.8
Home record4W 3D 3L8W 1D 1L
Away record3W 3D 4L3W 6D 1L
Clean sheets30%45%
Both teams scored60%45%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.07
Over 3.5 goals27%3.77
Both teams to score50%1.99
Atromitos or Draw47%2.13
AEK Athens or Draw79%1.27
Atromitos to win and Over 2.511%8.83
AEK Athens to win and Over 2.532%3.17
Atromitos clean sheet19%5.22
AEK Athens clean sheet39%2.59

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
0-111.5%
0-210.1%
1-29.6%
0-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atromitos vs AEK Athens?

Our prediction for Atromitos vs AEK Athens is AEK Athens to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is AEK Athens or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Atromitos vs AEK Athens?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-2. We expect Atromitos to score 0.9 goals and AEK Athens 1.6.

Will both teams score in Atromitos vs AEK Athens?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Atromitos last 20 games and 9 of AEK Athens last 20.

How are Atromitos playing?

Atromitos have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

How are AEK Athens playing?

AEK Athens have 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Atromitos and AEK Athens last met?

It ended Atromitos 2, AEK Athens 2. In the last 2 meetings Atromitos won 0 and AEK Athens won 1.

What is the best bet for Atromitos vs AEK Athens?

AEK Athens or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atromitos against AEK Athens. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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