PredictionsGreeceAtromitos vs Kifisia
Greek Super LeagueSat 19 Sept, 16:00 Greece time

Atromitos vs Kifisia prediction

Peristeri Stadium

AtromitosHome
1.43 : 0.95
expected goals
KifisiaAway
47%Atromitos
28%Draw
24%Kifisia
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atromitos vs Kifisia is Atromitos to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
Atromitos to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Atromitos 1.4, Kifisia 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atromitos 47%, the draw 28% and Kifisia 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atromitos took 5 points from their last 5 games and Kifisia took 5 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atromitos won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Kifisia won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atromitos score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Kifisia score 0.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Atromitos games and 9 of Kifisia games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Atromitos won 2 and Kifisia won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Kifisia 0, Atromitos 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Atromitosrecent form-1%
  • Kifisiarecent form-1%
  • Atromitosrest between games-5%
  • Kifisiarest between games-2%
Atromitos form D D L L WKifisia form L L D W DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atromitos vs Kifisia: Atromitos are favourites

The big picture

Atromitos host Kifisia in the Greek Super League on Sat 19 Sept, 16:00 at Peristeri Stadium. Our prediction for Atromitos vs Kifisia is Atromitos to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

Atromitos form

Atromitos have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Kifisia form

Kifisia have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Atromitos won 2, Kifisia won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Kifisia 0, Atromitos 3.

Our call

We expect Atromitos to score about 1.4 goals and Kifisia about 0.9. That points to Atromitos to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.51.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AtromitosKifisia
Games played2020
Wins75
Draws78
Losses67
Goals scored3318
Goals conceded2327
Scored per game1.60.9
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record4W 4D 2L3W 4D 3L
Away record3W 3D 4L2W 4D 4L
Clean sheets30%35%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.44
Over 2.5 goals43%2.34
Over 3.5 goals22%4.58
Both teams to score48%2.10
Atromitos or Draw76%1.32
Kifisia or Draw53%1.90
Atromitos to win and Over 2.526%3.92
Kifisia to win and Over 2.512%8.23
Atromitos clean sheet39%2.60
Kifisia clean sheet24%4.19

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
1-012.4%
0-09.9%
2-09.4%
2-19.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atromitos vs Kifisia?

Our prediction for Atromitos vs Kifisia is Atromitos to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Atromitos vs Kifisia?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Atromitos to score 1.4 goals and Kifisia 0.9.

Will both teams score in Atromitos vs Kifisia?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Atromitos last 20 games and 10 of Kifisia last 20.

How are Atromitos playing?

Atromitos have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Kifisia playing?

Kifisia have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Atromitos and Kifisia last met?

It ended Kifisia 0, Atromitos 3. In the last 4 meetings Atromitos won 2 and Kifisia won 1.

What is the best bet for Atromitos vs Kifisia?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atromitos against Kifisia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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