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Predictions › United States › Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 12:00 United States time

Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction

Davis Wade Stadium

Auburn TigersAway
28.2 : 31.0
projected points
Mississippi State BulldogsHome
48%Auburn
52%Mississippi St
Eagle safe pickMississippi St +7.5
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs is Mississippi State Bulldogs to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Auburn Tigers 28.2 and Mississippi State Bulldogs 31.0. Our best bet is Mississippi St +7.5 at -304.

Prediction
Mississippi State Bulldogs to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Auburn Tigers 28, Mississippi State Bulldogs 31
Projected total
59.2 points
Best bet
Mississippi St +7.5 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mississippi St +7.5
75% chanceFair price -3042 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Auburn to win
41% chanceFair price +1431 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mississippi State Bulldogs 52% and Auburn Tigers 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mississippi State Bulldogs won 1 of their last 5 and Auburn Tigers won 2 of their last 5. Auburn Tigers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mississippi State Bulldogs won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Auburn Tigers won 2 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Mississippi State Bulldogs score 28.9 points a game and let in 30.6. Auburn Tigers score 24.1 and let in 24.2. Their recent games average 59.5 and 48.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Mississippi St +7.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mississippi Stteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs: Mississippi State Bulldogs shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mississippi State Bulldogs host Auburn Tigers in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 12:00 at Davis Wade Stadium. Our prediction for Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs is Mississippi State Bulldogs to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Auburn Tigers 28.2 and Mississippi State Bulldogs 31.0. Our best bet is Mississippi St +7.5 at -304.

Mississippi State Bulldogs form

Mississippi State Bulldogs have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 550 points scored and 581 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Auburn Tigers form

Auburn Tigers have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 434 points scored and 435 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Auburn Tigers to score about 28.2 points and Mississippi State Bulldogs about 31.0. That points to Mississippi State Bulldogs to win. Our safest bet is Mississippi St +7.5 at -304. Our bold bet is Auburn to win at +143.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

Mississippi StAuburn
Games played1918
Wins77
Losses1211
Points scored550434
Points conceded581435
Scored per game28.924.1
Conceded per game30.624.2
Home record4W 7L5W 6L
Away record3W 5L2W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Mississippi St spreadCoversFair
Mississippi St -9.534%+195
Mississippi St -5.543%+131
Mississippi St -2.551%-103
Mississippi St +0.558%-140
Mississippi St +4.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
52.566%34%
56.557%43%
59.549%51%
62.542%58%
66.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Mississippi St +3.5 wins if Mississippi St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Mississippi State Suffers More Injury Blows Ahead of Texas Matchup

Mississippi State lost left guard DJ Chester for the Texas game, adding to a growing list of injuries that includes star quarterback Kamario Taylor.

30 Oct 2026
College Football

Mississippi State Aims for Taylor and Bothwell Returns Against Oklahoma

Mississippi State quarterback Kamario Taylor and running back Fluff Bothwell could return to the lineup this Saturday against Oklahoma.

24 Oct 2026
College Football

Auburn Shocks Top Ranked Georgia in Historic Athens Comeback

Auburn rallied from two touchdowns down to beat top ranked Georgia 27-24, snapping historic streaks in Athens.

18 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?

Our prediction for Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs is Mississippi State Bulldogs to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Auburn Tigers 28.2 and Mississippi State Bulldogs 31.0. Our best bet is Mississippi St +7.5 at -304.

What is the projected score for Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?

We project Auburn Tigers 28.2 and Mississippi State Bulldogs 31.0, about 59.2 points in total.

How are Mississippi State Bulldogs playing?

Mississippi State Bulldogs have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 550 points scored and 581 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Auburn Tigers playing?

Auburn Tigers have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 434 points scored and 435 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?

Mississippi St +7.5 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mississippi St against Auburn. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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