Predictions › United States › Auburn Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Auburn Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers prediction

Neyland Stadium

Auburn TigersAway
23.5 : 31.2
projected points
Tennessee VolunteersHome
27%Auburn
73%Tennessee
Eagle safe pickTennessee to win
-285

Quick answer

Our prediction for Auburn Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers is Tennessee Volunteers to win, with a 73% chance. We project Auburn Tigers 23.5 and Tennessee Volunteers 31.2. Our best bet is Tennessee to win at -285.

Prediction
Tennessee Volunteers to win
Chance
73%
Projected score
Auburn Tigers 23, Tennessee Volunteers 31
Projected total
54.7 points
Best bet
Tennessee to win at -285

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Tennessee to win
73% chancePrice -2851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tennessee Volunteers 73% and Auburn Tigers 27%. The bookmakers agree and make Tennessee Volunteers the favourite at -285.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tennessee Volunteers won 3 of their last 5 and Auburn Tigers won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tennessee Volunteers won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Auburn Tigers won 1 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Tennessee Volunteers score 37.3 points a game and let in 26.3. Auburn Tigers score 25.8 and let in 21.7. Their recent games average 63.6 and 47.5 points in total, and the market line is 54.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Tennessee to win has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tennesseerest between games-5%
  • Auburnrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Auburn Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers: Tennessee Volunteers are favourites

The big picture

Tennessee Volunteers host Auburn Tigers in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 15:30 at Neyland Stadium. Our prediction for Auburn Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers is Tennessee Volunteers to win, with a 73% chance. We project Auburn Tigers 23.5 and Tennessee Volunteers 31.2. Our best bet is Tennessee to win at -285.

Tennessee Volunteers form

Tennessee Volunteers have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 560 points scored and 394 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Auburn Tigers form

Auburn Tigers have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 361 points scored and 304 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Auburn Tigers to score about 23.5 points and Tennessee Volunteers about 31.2. That points to Tennessee Volunteers to win. Our safest bet is Tennessee to win at -285.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

TennesseeAuburn
Games played1514
Wins96
Losses68
Points scored560361
Points conceded394304
Scored per game37.325.8
Conceded per game26.321.7
Home record5W 4L5W 5L
Away record4W 2L1W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Tennessee to win73%-267-285-1.7%
Auburn to win28%+252+230-6.2%
Tennessee -749%+105-105-4.9%
Auburn +745%+122-115-15.8%
Over 54.5 points47%+111-110-9.6%
Under 54.5 points46%+116-110-11.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Tennessee spreadCoversFair
Tennessee -14.534%+198
Tennessee -10.543%+132
Tennessee -7.551%-102
Tennessee -4.558%-138
Tennessee -0.567%-207
Total pointsOverUnder
47.567%33%
51.558%42%
54.550%50%
57.543%57%
61.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Tennessee +3.5 wins if Tennessee win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Auburn Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers?

Our prediction for Auburn Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers is Tennessee Volunteers to win, with a 73% chance. We project Auburn Tigers 23.5 and Tennessee Volunteers 31.2. Our best bet is Tennessee to win at -285.

What is the projected score for Auburn Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers?

We project Auburn Tigers 23.5 and Tennessee Volunteers 31.2, about 54.7 points in total.

How are Tennessee Volunteers playing?

Tennessee Volunteers have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 560 points scored and 394 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Auburn Tigers playing?

Auburn Tigers have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 361 points scored and 304 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Auburn Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers?

Tennessee to win at -285, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tennessee against Auburn. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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