Predictions › Chile › Audax Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido

Chilean Primera DivisionSun 8 Nov, 20:00 Chile time

Audax Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido prediction

Estadio Municipal de La Florida

Audax ItalianoHome

1.55 : 1.31

expected goals

Coquimbo UnidoAway

42%Audax Italiano

26%Draw

32%Coquimbo

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Audax Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido is Audax Italiano to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction: Audax Italiano to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Audax Italiano 1.6, Coquimbo Unido 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score: 58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

79% chanceFair price 1.272 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Audax Italiano to win and Over 2.5

27% chanceFair price 3.741 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Audax Italiano 42%, the draw 26% and Coquimbo Unido 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Audax Italiano took 8 points from their last 5 games and Coquimbo Unido took 3 from 5. Audax Italiano come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Audax Italiano won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Coquimbo Unido won 1 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Audax Italiano score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.4. Coquimbo Unido score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Audax Italiano games and 11 of Coquimbo Unido games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Audax Italiano won 0 and Coquimbo Unido won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Coquimbo Unido 3, Audax Italiano 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Coquimborecent form+3%
Audax Italianorest between games-5%

Audax Italiano form D D L D WCoquimbo form D W W W LHome edge in this league 30% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Audax Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido: Audax Italiano shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Audax Italiano host Coquimbo Unido in the Chilean Primera Division on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Municipal de La Florida. Our prediction for Audax Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido is Audax Italiano to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Audax Italiano form

Audax Italiano have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Coquimbo Unido form

Coquimbo Unido have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Audax Italiano won 0, Coquimbo Unido won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Coquimbo Unido 3, Audax Italiano 0.

Our call

We expect Audax Italiano to score about 1.6 goals and Coquimbo Unido about 1.3. That points to Audax Italiano to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Audax Italiano to win and Over 2.5 at 3.74.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Audax Italiano	Coquimbo
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	6
Draws	8	6
Losses	7	8
Goals scored	24	29
Goals conceded	29	27
Scored per game	1.2	1.4
Conceded per game	1.4	1.4
Home record	3W 5D 3L	5W 3D 2L
Away record	2W 3D 4L	1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets	30%	25%
Both teams scored	60%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.27
Over 2.5 goals	54%	1.84
Over 3.5 goals	32%	3.12
Both teams to score	58%	1.72
Audax Italiano or Draw	68%	1.46
Coquimbo Unido or Draw	58%	1.73
Audax Italiano to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.68
Coquimbo Unido to win and Over 2.5	20%	5.04
Audax Italiano clean sheet	27%	3.71
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet	21%	4.70

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%

2-19.0%

1-08.2%

1-27.6%

2-06.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Audax Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido?

Our prediction for Audax Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido is Audax Italiano to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Audax Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Audax Italiano to score 1.6 goals and Coquimbo Unido 1.3.

Will both teams score in Audax Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Audax Italiano last 20 games and 13 of Coquimbo Unido last 20.

How are Audax Italiano playing?

How are Coquimbo Unido playing?

What happened when Audax Italiano and Coquimbo Unido last met?

It ended Coquimbo Unido 3, Audax Italiano 0. In the last 1 meeting Audax Italiano won 0 and Coquimbo Unido won 1.

What is the best bet for Audax Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Audax Italiano against Coquimbo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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