Predictions › Chile › Audax Italiano vs O'Higgins

Chilean Primera DivisionSun 13 Sept, 23:00 Chile time

Audax Italiano vs O'Higgins prediction

Estadio Municipal de La Florida

Audax ItalianoHome

1.45 : 1.36

expected goals

O'HigginsAway

39%Audax Italiano

27%Draw

35%O'Higgins

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Audax Italiano vs O'Higgins is Audax Italiano to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction: Audax Italiano to win
Chance: 39%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Audax Italiano 1.4, O'Higgins 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score: 58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1.252 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7.951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Audax Italiano 39%, the draw 27% and O'Higgins 35%. The bookmakers agree and make Audax Italiano the favourite at 2.55.
2
Recent form
Audax Italiano took 6 points from their last 5 games and O'Higgins took 4 from 5. Audax Italiano come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Audax Italiano won 3 of their last 10 games at home. O'Higgins won 3 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Audax Italiano score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. O'Higgins score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Audax Italiano games and 10 of O'Higgins games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Audax Italiano won 0 and O'Higgins won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended O'Higgins 2, Audax Italiano 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Audax Italiano form W L D D DO'Higgins form W L W L DHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Audax Italiano vs O'Higgins: Audax Italiano shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Audax Italiano host O'Higgins in the Chilean Primera Division on Sun 13 Sept, 23:00 at Estadio Municipal de La Florida. Our prediction for Audax Italiano vs O'Higgins is Audax Italiano to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Audax Italiano form

Audax Italiano have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, D, newest first.

O'Higgins form

O'Higgins have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Audax Italiano won 0, O'Higgins won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished O'Higgins 2, Audax Italiano 1.

Our call

We expect Audax Italiano to score about 1.4 goals and O'Higgins about 1.4. That points to Audax Italiano to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.95.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Audax Italiano	O'Higgins
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	7
Draws	6	3
Losses	9	10
Goals scored	22	25
Goals conceded	31	33
Scored per game	1.1	1.3
Conceded per game	1.6	1.6
Home record	3W 4D 3L	4W 0D 5L
Away record	2W 2D 6L	3W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	30%	20%
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Audax Italiano to win	36%	2.80	2.55	-9.0%
A Draw	25%	3.99	3.35	-16.0%
O'Higgins to win	32%	3.11	2.75	-11.6%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	2.00	1.87	-6.5%
Under 2.5 goals	48%	2.10	1.87	-11.1%
Audax Italiano -0.5	35%	2.82	2.40	-14.9%
O'Higgins +0.5	62%	1.60	1.50	-6.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	78%	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	53%	1.88
Over 3.5 goals	31%	3.22
Both teams to score	58%	1.74
Audax Italiano or Draw	65%	1.53
O'Higgins or Draw	61%	1.64
Audax Italiano to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.09
O'Higgins to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.64
Audax Italiano clean sheet	26%	3.89
O'Higgins clean sheet	23%	4.28

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%

2-18.6%

1-28.1%

1-08.0%

0-17.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Audax Italiano vs O'Higgins?

Our prediction for Audax Italiano vs O'Higgins is Audax Italiano to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Audax Italiano vs O'Higgins?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Audax Italiano to score 1.4 goals and O'Higgins 1.4.

Will both teams score in Audax Italiano vs O'Higgins?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Audax Italiano last 20 games and 10 of O'Higgins last 20.

How are Audax Italiano playing?

How are O'Higgins playing?

What happened when Audax Italiano and O'Higgins last met?

It ended O'Higgins 2, Audax Italiano 1. In the last 1 meeting Audax Italiano won 0 and O'Higgins won 1.

What is the best bet for Audax Italiano vs O'Higgins?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Audax Italiano against O'Higgins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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