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Predictions › United States › Austin FC vs Nashville SC
MLSSat 10 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Austin FC vs Nashville SC prediction

Q2 Stadium

Austin FCHome
1.10 : 1.13
expected goals
Nashville SCAway
34%Austin
30%Draw
35%Nashville
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
-373

Quick answer

Our prediction for Austin FC vs Nashville SC is Nashville SC to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -373.

Prediction
Nashville SC to win
Chance
35%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Austin FC 1.1, Nashville SC 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at -373
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price -3732 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price +6061 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Austin FC 34%, the draw 30% and Nashville SC 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Austin FC took 7 points from their last 5 games and Nashville SC took 8 from 5. Nashville SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Austin FC won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Nashville SC won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Austin FC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. Nashville SC score 1.7 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Austin FC games and 11 of Nashville SC games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Austinrecent form+1%
  • Nashvillerecent form+1%
Austin form D D W D DNashville form W W D L DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Austin FC vs Nashville SC: Nashville SC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Austin FC host Nashville SC in the MLS on Sat 10 Oct, 20:30 at Q2 Stadium. Our prediction for Austin FC vs Nashville SC is Nashville SC to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -373.

Austin FC form

Austin FC have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, D, newest first.

Nashville SC form

Nashville SC have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Austin FC to score about 1.1 goals and Nashville SC about 1.1. That points to Nashville SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at -373. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at +606.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AustinNashville
Games played2020
Wins611
Draws75
Losses74
Goals scored2734
Goals conceded3617
Scored per game1.41.7
Conceded per game1.80.8
Home record3W 4D 2L9W 1D 1L
Away record3W 3D 5L2W 4D 3L
Clean sheets15%45%
Both teams scored65%40%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals66%-195
Over 2.5 goals39%+159
Over 3.5 goals19%+434
Both teams to score46%+117
Austin FC or Draw65%-183
Nashville SC or Draw66%-193
Austin FC to win and Over 2.517%+503
Nashville SC to win and Over 2.517%+480
Austin FC clean sheet32%+209
Nashville SC clean sheet33%+202

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.2%
0-011.5%
0-111.3%
1-011.0%
1-27.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

Inter Miami Settle for Draw as Nashville Grabs Late Stoppage Point

Nashville SC scored in stoppage time to earn a 2-2 draw against Inter Miami, keeping a nine-point lead at the top of the Eastern Conference.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Austin FC vs Nashville SC?

Our prediction for Austin FC vs Nashville SC is Nashville SC to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -373.

What is the score prediction for Austin FC vs Nashville SC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 0-1. We expect Austin FC to score 1.1 goals and Nashville SC 1.1.

Will both teams score in Austin FC vs Nashville SC?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Austin FC last 20 games and 8 of Nashville SC last 20.

How are Austin FC playing?

Austin FC have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Nashville SC playing?

Nashville SC have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Austin FC vs Nashville SC?

Under 3.5 goals at -373, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Austin against Nashville. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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