Predictions › United States › Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake

MLSWed 28 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake prediction

Q2 Stadium

Austin FCHome

1.42 : 1.25

expected goals

Real Salt LakeAway

40%Austin

27%Draw

32%Salt Lake

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

-316

Quick answer

Our prediction for Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake is Austin FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -316.

Prediction: Austin FC to win
Chance: 40%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Austin FC 1.4, Real Salt Lake 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at -316
Both teams to score: 55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price -3162 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price +6671 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Austin FC 40%, the draw 27% and Real Salt Lake 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Austin FC took 2 points from their last 5 games and Real Salt Lake took 7 from 5. Real Salt Lake come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Austin FC won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Real Salt Lake won 1 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Austin FC score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.9. Real Salt Lake score 1.3 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Austin FC games and 13 of Real Salt Lake games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Austin FC won 0 and Real Salt Lake won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Real Salt Lake 2, Austin FC 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Austinrecent form-3%
Salt Lakerecent form-1%
Austinrest between games-5%
Salt Lakerest between games-5%

Austin form D L L D DSalt Lake form D D L W LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake: Austin FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Austin FC host Real Salt Lake in the MLS on Wed 28 Oct, 20:30 at Q2 Stadium. Our prediction for Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake is Austin FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -316.

Austin FC form

Austin FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Real Salt Lake form

Real Salt Lake have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Austin FC won 0, Real Salt Lake won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Real Salt Lake 2, Austin FC 1.

Our call

We expect Austin FC to score about 1.4 goals and Real Salt Lake about 1.3. That points to Austin FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -316. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at +667.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Austin	Salt Lake
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	4
Draws	6	5
Losses	9	11
Goals scored	24	26
Goals conceded	37	34
Scored per game	1.2	1.3
Conceded per game	1.9	1.7
Home record	2W 4D 4L	3W 3D 3L
Away record	3W 2D 5L	1W 2D 8L
Clean sheets	10%	10%
Both teams scored	70%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	-304
Over 2.5 goals	50%	+101
Over 3.5 goals	28%	+259
Both teams to score	55%	-121
Austin FC or Draw	68%	-209
Real Salt Lake or Draw	60%	-148
Austin FC to win and Over 2.5	24%	+314
Real Salt Lake to win and Over 2.5	19%	+426
Austin FC clean sheet	29%	+248
Real Salt Lake clean sheet	24%	+313

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%

1-09.1%

2-18.7%

0-17.9%

0-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake?

Our prediction for Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake is Austin FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -316.

What is the score prediction for Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Austin FC to score 1.4 goals and Real Salt Lake 1.3.

Will both teams score in Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Austin FC last 20 games and 14 of Real Salt Lake last 20.

How are Austin FC playing?

How are Real Salt Lake playing?

What happened when Austin FC and Real Salt Lake last met?

It ended Real Salt Lake 2, Austin FC 1. In the last 2 meetings Austin FC won 0 and Real Salt Lake won 2.

What is the best bet for Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake?

Over 1.5 goals at -316, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Austin against Salt Lake. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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