Predictions › United States › Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps

MLSSat 17 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction

Q2 Stadium

Austin FCHome

1.24 : 1.69

expected goals

Vancouver WhitecapsAway

28%Austin

25%Draw

47%Vancouver

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

-339

Quick answer

Our prediction for Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -339.

Prediction: Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Chance: 47%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Austin FC 1.2, Vancouver Whitecaps 1.7
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at -339
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

77% chanceFair price -3392 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.5

31% chanceFair price +2251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Austin FC 28%, the draw 25% and Vancouver Whitecaps 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Austin FC took 7 points from their last 5 games and Vancouver Whitecaps took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Austin FC won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Vancouver Whitecaps won 5 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Austin FC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. Vancouver Whitecaps score 2.0 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Austin FC games and 13 of Vancouver Whitecaps games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Austin FC won 1 and Vancouver Whitecaps won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Vancouver Whitecaps 1, Austin FC 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Austinrecent form+1%
Vancouverrecent form+1%
Vancouverrest between games-5%

Austin form D D W D DVancouver form D D W L WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps: Vancouver Whitecaps are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Austin FC host Vancouver Whitecaps in the MLS on Sat 17 Oct, 20:30 at Q2 Stadium. Our prediction for Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -339.

Austin FC form

Austin FC have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, D, newest first.

Vancouver Whitecaps form

Vancouver Whitecaps have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Austin FC won 1, Vancouver Whitecaps won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Vancouver Whitecaps 1, Austin FC 2.

Our call

We expect Austin FC to score about 1.2 goals and Vancouver Whitecaps about 1.7. That points to Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -339. Our bold bet is Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.5 at +225.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Austin	Vancouver
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	9
Draws	7	5
Losses	7	6
Goals scored	27	41
Goals conceded	36	25
Scored per game	1.4	2.0
Conceded per game	1.8	1.3
Home record	3W 4D 2L	4W 2D 3L
Away record	3W 3D 5L	5W 3D 3L
Clean sheets	15%	35%
Both teams scored	65%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	-394
Over 2.5 goals	56%	-128
Over 3.5 goals	34%	+196
Both teams to score	59%	-142
Austin FC or Draw	53%	-112
Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw	72%	-263
Austin FC to win and Over 2.5	17%	+473
Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.5	31%	+219
Austin FC clean sheet	18%	+442
Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet	29%	+247

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.8%

1-29.4%

0-18.3%

0-27.6%

2-17.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Our prediction for Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -339.

What is the score prediction for Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Austin FC to score 1.2 goals and Vancouver Whitecaps 1.7.

Will both teams score in Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Austin FC last 20 games and 11 of Vancouver Whitecaps last 20.

How are Austin FC playing?

How are Vancouver Whitecaps playing?

What happened when Austin FC and Vancouver Whitecaps last met?

It ended Vancouver Whitecaps 1, Austin FC 2. In the last 1 meeting Austin FC won 1 and Vancouver Whitecaps won 0.

What is the best bet for Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Over 1.5 goals at -339, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Austin against Vancouver. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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