Predictions › Austria › Austria Lustenau vs Grazer AK

Austrian BundesligaSat 7 Nov, 16:00 Austria time

Austria Lustenau vs Grazer AK prediction

SUN MINIMEAL Arena

Austria LustenauHome

1.61 : 1.43

expected goals

Grazer AKAway

41%Austria Lustenau

25%Draw

34%Grazer

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Austria Lustenau vs Grazer AK is Austria Lustenau to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction: Austria Lustenau to win
Chance: 41%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Austria Lustenau 1.6, Grazer AK 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score: 62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.232 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Austria Lustenau to win and Over 2.5

27% chanceFair price 3.711 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Austria Lustenau 41%, the draw 25% and Grazer AK 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Austria Lustenau took 3 points from their last 5 games and Grazer AK took 6 from 5. Grazer AK come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Austria Lustenau won 2 of their last 5 games at home. Grazer AK won 3 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Austria Lustenau score 1.2 goals a game and let in 2.4. Grazer AK score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Austria Lustenau games and 12 of Grazer AK games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Austria Lustenau won 0 and Grazer AK won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Grazer AK 2, Austria Lustenau 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Austria Lustenaurecent form-3%

Austria Lustenau form D L L W LGrazer form D L D D WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Austria Lustenau vs Grazer AK: Austria Lustenau shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Austria Lustenau host Grazer AK in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 at SUN MINIMEAL Arena. Our prediction for Austria Lustenau vs Grazer AK is Austria Lustenau to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Austria Lustenau form

Austria Lustenau have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 10 games, with 12 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Grazer AK form

Grazer AK have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Austria Lustenau won 0, Grazer AK won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Grazer AK 2, Austria Lustenau 1.

Our call

We expect Austria Lustenau to score about 1.6 goals and Grazer AK about 1.4. That points to Austria Lustenau to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Austria Lustenau to win and Over 2.5 at 3.71.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Austria Lustenau	Grazer
Games played	10	20
Wins	2	7
Draws	2	6
Losses	6	7
Goals scored	12	28
Goals conceded	24	32
Scored per game	1.2	1.4
Conceded per game	2.4	1.6
Home record	2W 1D 2L	4W 5D 0L
Away record	0W 1D 4L	3W 1D 7L
Clean sheets	10%	25%
Both teams scored	70%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.23
Over 2.5 goals	59%	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	36%	2.76
Both teams to score	62%	1.62
Austria Lustenau or Draw	66%	1.50
Grazer AK or Draw	59%	1.70
Austria Lustenau to win and Over 2.5	28%	3.58
Grazer AK to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.46
Austria Lustenau clean sheet	24%	4.19
Grazer AK clean sheet	20%	4.99

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%

2-18.9%

1-27.9%

1-07.0%

2-26.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Austria Lustenau vs Grazer AK?

Our prediction for Austria Lustenau vs Grazer AK is Austria Lustenau to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Austria Lustenau vs Grazer AK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Austria Lustenau to score 1.6 goals and Grazer AK 1.4.

Will both teams score in Austria Lustenau vs Grazer AK?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Austria Lustenau last 10 games and 10 of Grazer AK last 20.

How are Austria Lustenau playing?

How are Grazer AK playing?

What happened when Austria Lustenau and Grazer AK last met?

It ended Grazer AK 2, Austria Lustenau 1. In the last 1 meeting Austria Lustenau won 0 and Grazer AK won 1.

What is the best bet for Austria Lustenau vs Grazer AK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Austria Lustenau against Grazer. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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