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Predictions › Austria › Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz
Austrian BundesligaSat 17 Oct, 15:00 Austria time

Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz prediction

SUN MINIMEAL Arena

Austria LustenauHome
1.30 : 2.10
expected goals
LASK LinzAway
23%Austria Lustenau
22%Draw
55%LASK Linz
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz is LASK Linz to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
LASK Linz to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Austria Lustenau 1.3, LASK Linz 2.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

LASK Linz to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.591 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Austria Lustenau 23%, the draw 22% and LASK Linz 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Austria Lustenau took 7 points from their last 5 games and LASK Linz took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Austria Lustenau won 2 of their last 4 games at home. LASK Linz won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Austria Lustenau score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. LASK Linz score 2.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Austria Lustenau games and 15 of LASK Linz games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Austria Lustenau form W L L D WLASK Linz form D L L W WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz: LASK Linz are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Austria Lustenau host LASK Linz in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 at SUN MINIMEAL Arena. Our prediction for Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz is LASK Linz to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Austria Lustenau form

Austria Lustenau have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 7 games, with 8 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, W, newest first.

LASK Linz form

LASK Linz have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Austria Lustenau to score about 1.3 goals and LASK Linz about 2.1. That points to LASK Linz to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is LASK Linz to win and Over 2.5 at 2.59.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Austria LustenauLASK Linz
Games played720
Wins212
Draws25
Losses33
Goals scored848
Goals conceded1123
Scored per game1.12.4
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record2W 1D 1L7W 2D 0L
Away record0W 1D 2L5W 3D 3L
Clean sheets14%25%
Both teams scored71%70%
Over 2.5 goals57%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.16
Over 2.5 goals66%1.51
Over 3.5 goals44%2.26
Both teams to score64%1.55
Austria Lustenau or Draw45%2.23
LASK Linz or Draw77%1.30
Austria Lustenau to win and Over 2.516%6.17
LASK Linz to win and Over 2.541%2.42
Austria Lustenau clean sheet12%8.17
LASK Linz clean sheet27%3.68

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.6%
1-29.6%
0-27.3%
1-36.7%
0-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz?

Our prediction for Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz is LASK Linz to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect Austria Lustenau to score 1.3 goals and LASK Linz 2.1.

Will both teams score in Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Austria Lustenau last 7 games and 14 of LASK Linz last 20.

How are Austria Lustenau playing?

Austria Lustenau have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 7 games, with 8 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, W, newest first.

How are LASK Linz playing?

LASK Linz have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Austria Lustenau against LASK Linz. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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