EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Austria › Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau
Austrian BundesligaSun 13 Sept, 12:30 Austria time

Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau prediction

Generali-Arena

Austria ViennaHome
1.76 : 1.07
expected goals
Austria LustenauAway
53%Vienna
25%Draw
22%Austria Lustenau
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau is Austria Vienna to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
Austria Vienna to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Austria Vienna 1.8, Austria Lustenau 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Austria Vienna to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.121 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Austria Vienna 53%, the draw 25% and Austria Lustenau 22%. The bookmakers agree and make Austria Vienna the favourite at 1.69.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Austria Vienna took 3 points from their last 5 games and Austria Lustenau took 5 from 5. Austria Lustenau come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Austria Vienna score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.7. Austria Lustenau score 1.0 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Austria Vienna games and 3 of Austria Lustenau games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Viennarecent form-3%
  • Austria Lustenaurecent form-1%
Vienna form L L D L WAustria Lustenau form L D W L DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau: Austria Vienna are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Austria Vienna host Austria Lustenau in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sun 13 Sept, 12:30 at Generali-Arena. Our prediction for Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau is Austria Vienna to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Austria Vienna form

Austria Vienna have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Austria Lustenau form

Austria Lustenau have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 5 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 2. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Austria Vienna to score about 1.8 goals and Austria Lustenau about 1.1. That points to Austria Vienna to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Austria Vienna to win and Over 2.5 at 3.12.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ViennaAustria Lustenau
Games played205
Wins71
Draws32
Losses102
Goals scored235
Goals conceded349
Scored per game1.11.0
Conceded per game1.71.8
Home record2W 2D 5L1W 1D 1L
Away record5W 1D 5L0W 1D 1L
Clean sheets35%0%
Both teams scored45%80%
Over 2.5 goals45%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Austria Vienna to win52%1.911.69-11.5%
A Draw23%4.304.00-6.9%
Austria Lustenau to win21%4.844.50-6.9%
Over 2.5 goals54%1.851.71-7.4%
Under 2.5 goals43%2.302.05-10.9%
Austria Vienna -0.553%1.881.71-8.9%
Austria Lustenau +0.544%2.252.00-11.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.86
Over 3.5 goals32%3.17
Both teams to score55%1.81
Austria Vienna or Draw78%1.29
Austria Lustenau or Draw47%2.12
Austria Vienna to win and Over 2.534%2.93
Austria Lustenau to win and Over 2.513%7.53
Austria Vienna clean sheet34%2.92
Austria Lustenau clean sheet17%5.83

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
2-19.8%
1-09.7%
2-09.1%
0-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau?

Our prediction for Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau is Austria Vienna to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Austria Vienna to score 1.8 goals and Austria Lustenau 1.1.

Will both teams score in Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Austria Vienna last 20 games and 4 of Austria Lustenau last 5.

How are Austria Vienna playing?

Austria Vienna have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Austria Lustenau playing?

Austria Lustenau have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 5 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 2. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Vienna against Austria Lustenau. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.