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Predictions › Austria › Austria Vienna vs RB Salzburg
Austrian BundesligaSun 22 Nov, 16:00 Austria time

Austria Vienna vs RB Salzburg prediction

Generali-Arena

Austria ViennaHome
1.14 : 2.26
expected goals
RB SalzburgAway
18%Vienna
20%Draw
62%RB Salzburg
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Austria Vienna vs RB Salzburg is RB Salzburg to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
RB Salzburg to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Austria Vienna 1.1, RB Salzburg 2.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

RB Salzburg to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 2.281 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Austria Vienna 18%, the draw 20% and RB Salzburg 62%. The bookmakers agree and make RB Salzburg the favourite at 1.59.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Austria Vienna took 1 point from their last 5 games and RB Salzburg took 10 from 5. RB Salzburg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Austria Vienna won 2 of their last 9 games at home. RB Salzburg won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Austria Vienna score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.9. RB Salzburg score 1.9 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Austria Vienna games and 12 of RB Salzburg games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Austria Vienna won 1 and RB Salzburg won 4 with 0 draws. The last one ended RB Salzburg 4, Austria Vienna 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Viennarecent form-6%
  • RB Salzburgrecent form+1%
Vienna form D L L L LRB Salzburg form D L W W DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Austria Vienna vs RB Salzburg: RB Salzburg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Austria Vienna host RB Salzburg in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sun 22 Nov, 16:00 at Generali-Arena. Our prediction for Austria Vienna vs RB Salzburg is RB Salzburg to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Austria Vienna form

Austria Vienna have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

RB Salzburg form

RB Salzburg have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Austria Vienna won 1, RB Salzburg won 4 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished RB Salzburg 4, Austria Vienna 1.

Our call

We expect Austria Vienna to score about 1.1 goals and RB Salzburg about 2.3. That points to RB Salzburg to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is RB Salzburg to win and Over 2.5 at 2.28.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ViennaRB Salzburg
Games played2020
Wins410
Draws45
Losses125
Goals scored1939
Goals conceded3824
Scored per game0.91.9
Conceded per game1.91.2
Home record2W 1D 6L6W 1D 2L
Away record2W 3D 6L4W 4D 3L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Austria Vienna to win17%6.014.30-28.4%
A Draw20%5.094.50-11.7%
RB Salzburg to win58%1.731.59-8.2%
Over 3.5 goals42%2.402.10-12.4%
Under 3.5 goals52%1.941.61-17.3%
Austria Vienna +0.539%2.562.20-14.1%
RB Salzburg -0.554%1.851.54-16.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.52
Over 3.5 goals44%2.27
Both teams to score61%1.63
Austria Vienna or Draw38%2.64
RB Salzburg or Draw82%1.21
Austria Vienna to win and Over 2.512%8.29
RB Salzburg to win and Over 2.546%2.15
Austria Vienna clean sheet10%9.54
RB Salzburg clean sheet32%3.12

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.7%
1-19.1%
0-28.6%
1-37.3%
0-17.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Austria Vienna vs RB Salzburg?

Our prediction for Austria Vienna vs RB Salzburg is RB Salzburg to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Austria Vienna vs RB Salzburg?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Austria Vienna to score 1.1 goals and RB Salzburg 2.3.

Will both teams score in Austria Vienna vs RB Salzburg?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Austria Vienna last 20 games and 11 of RB Salzburg last 20.

How are Austria Vienna playing?

Austria Vienna have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are RB Salzburg playing?

RB Salzburg have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Austria Vienna and RB Salzburg last met?

It ended RB Salzburg 4, Austria Vienna 1. In the last 5 meetings Austria Vienna won 1 and RB Salzburg won 4.

What is the best bet for Austria Vienna vs RB Salzburg?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Vienna against RB Salzburg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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