EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Japan › Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka
J1 LeagueWed 21 Oct, 10:00 Japan time

Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka prediction

Best Denki Stadium

Avispa FukuokaHome
1.28 : 1.24
expected goals
Gamba OsakaAway
37%A Fukuoka
28%Draw
35%Gamba Osaka
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka is Avispa Fukuoka to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Avispa Fukuoka to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Avispa Fukuoka 1.3, Gamba Osaka 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Avispa Fukuoka 37%, the draw 28% and Gamba Osaka 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Avispa Fukuoka took 4 points from their last 5 games and Gamba Osaka took 1 from 5. Avispa Fukuoka come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Avispa Fukuoka won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Gamba Osaka won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Avispa Fukuoka score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Gamba Osaka score 1.3 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Avispa Fukuoka games and 9 of Gamba Osaka games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Avispa Fukuoka won 2 and Gamba Osaka won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Gamba Osaka 1, Avispa Fukuoka 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • A Fukuokarecent form-4%
  • Gamba Osakarecent form-3%
  • A Fukuokarest between games-5%
  • Gamba Osakarest between games-2%
A Fukuoka form D L L D LGamba Osaka form D L W L LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka: Avispa Fukuoka shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Avispa Fukuoka host Gamba Osaka in the J1 League on Wed 21 Oct, 10:00 at Best Denki Stadium. Our prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka is Avispa Fukuoka to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Avispa Fukuoka form

Avispa Fukuoka have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Gamba Osaka form

Gamba Osaka have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Avispa Fukuoka won 2, Gamba Osaka won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Gamba Osaka 1, Avispa Fukuoka 2.

Our call

We expect Avispa Fukuoka to score about 1.3 goals and Gamba Osaka about 1.2. That points to Avispa Fukuoka to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.38.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

A FukuokaGamba Osaka
Games played2020
Wins54
Draws77
Losses89
Goals scored2526
Goals conceded2730
Scored per game1.31.3
Conceded per game1.41.5
Home record3W 4D 4L2W 3D 5L
Away record2W 3D 4L2W 4D 4L
Clean sheets10%10%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals50%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.17
Over 3.5 goals25%4.06
Both teams to score52%1.92
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw65%1.53
Gamba Osaka or Draw63%1.58
Avispa Fukuoka to win and Over 2.521%4.85
Gamba Osaka to win and Over 2.519%5.15
Avispa Fukuoka clean sheet29%3.45
Gamba Osaka clean sheet28%3.60

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
1-09.6%
0-19.2%
0-08.8%
2-18.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?

Our prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka is Avispa Fukuoka to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Avispa Fukuoka to score 1.3 goals and Gamba Osaka 1.2.

Will both teams score in Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Avispa Fukuoka last 20 games and 12 of Gamba Osaka last 20.

How are Avispa Fukuoka playing?

Avispa Fukuoka have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Gamba Osaka playing?

Gamba Osaka have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Avispa Fukuoka and Gamba Osaka last met?

It ended Gamba Osaka 1, Avispa Fukuoka 2. In the last 3 meetings Avispa Fukuoka won 2 and Gamba Osaka won 0.

What is the best bet for Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in A Fukuoka against Gamba Osaka. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.