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Predictions › United States › Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons prediction

Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Ball State CardinalsAway
15.3 : 25.9
projected points
Bowling Green FalconsHome
25%Ball State
75%Bowling Green
Eagle safe pickBowling Green to win
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons is Bowling Green Falcons to win, with a 75% chance. We project Ball State Cardinals 15.3 and Bowling Green Falcons 25.9. Our best bet is Bowling Green to win at -305.

Prediction
Bowling Green Falcons to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
Ball State Cardinals 15, Bowling Green Falcons 26
Projected total
41.2 points
Best bet
Bowling Green to win at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bowling Green to win
75% chanceFair price -3052 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Bowling Green Falcons 75% and Ball State Cardinals 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Bowling Green Falcons won 1 of their last 5 and Ball State Cardinals won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Bowling Green Falcons won 2 of their last 7 games at home. Ball State Cardinals won 0 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Bowling Green Falcons score 17.1 points a game and let in 27.7. Ball State Cardinals score 18.9 and let in 31.6. Their recent games average 44.8 and 50.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Bowling Green to win has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons: Bowling Green Falcons are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bowling Green Falcons host Ball State Cardinals in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. Our prediction for Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons is Bowling Green Falcons to win, with a 75% chance. We project Ball State Cardinals 15.3 and Bowling Green Falcons 25.9. Our best bet is Bowling Green to win at -305.

Bowling Green Falcons form

Bowling Green Falcons have 4 wins and 11 losses in their last 15 games, with 257 points scored and 415 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Ball State Cardinals form

Ball State Cardinals have 5 wins and 10 losses in their last 15 games, with 283 points scored and 474 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 8 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Ball State Cardinals to score about 15.3 points and Bowling Green Falcons about 25.9. That points to Bowling Green Falcons to win. Our safest bet is Bowling Green to win at -305.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

Bowling GreenBall State
Games played1515
Wins45
Losses1110
Points scored257283
Points conceded415474
Scored per game17.118.9
Conceded per game27.731.6
Home record2W 5L5W 2L
Away record2W 6L0W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Bowling Green spreadCoversFair
Bowling Green -17.533%+201
Bowling Green -13.543%+134
Bowling Green -10.550%-101
Bowling Green -7.558%-136
Bowling Green -3.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
34.566%34%
38.557%43%
41.549%51%
44.542%58%
48.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bowling Green +3.5 wins if Bowling Green win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons?

Our prediction for Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons is Bowling Green Falcons to win, with a 75% chance. We project Ball State Cardinals 15.3 and Bowling Green Falcons 25.9. Our best bet is Bowling Green to win at -305.

What is the projected score for Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons?

We project Ball State Cardinals 15.3 and Bowling Green Falcons 25.9, about 41.2 points in total.

How are Bowling Green Falcons playing?

Bowling Green Falcons have 4 wins and 11 losses in their last 15 games, with 257 points scored and 415 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Ball State Cardinals playing?

Ball State Cardinals have 5 wins and 10 losses in their last 15 games, with 283 points scored and 474 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 8 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons?

Bowling Green to win at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bowling Green against Ball State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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