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Predictions › United States › Ball State Cardinals vs Massachusetts Minutemen
College FootballWed 4 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Ball State Cardinals vs Massachusetts Minutemen prediction

Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Ball State CardinalsAway
19.0 : 30.3
projected points
Massachusetts MinutemenHome
23%Ball State
77%UMass
Eagle safe pickUMass to win
-334

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ball State Cardinals vs Massachusetts Minutemen is Massachusetts Minutemen to win, with a 77% chance. We project Ball State Cardinals 19.0 and Massachusetts Minutemen 30.3. Our best bet is UMass to win at -334.

Prediction
Massachusetts Minutemen to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
Ball State Cardinals 19, Massachusetts Minutemen 30
Projected total
49.3 points
Best bet
UMass to win at -334

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

UMass to win
77% chanceFair price -3342 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Massachusetts Minutemen 77% and Ball State Cardinals 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Massachusetts Minutemen won 1 of their last 5 and Ball State Cardinals won 2 of their last 5. Ball State Cardinals come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Massachusetts Minutemen won 2 of their last 8 games at home. Ball State Cardinals won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Massachusetts Minutemen score 17.2 points a game and let in 31.3. Ball State Cardinals score 20.2 and let in 31.5. Their recent games average 48.4 and 51.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    UMass to win has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • UMassrest between games-5%
  • Ball Staterest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ball State Cardinals vs Massachusetts Minutemen: Massachusetts Minutemen are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Massachusetts Minutemen host Ball State Cardinals in the College Football on Wed 4 Nov, 00:00 at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. Our prediction for Ball State Cardinals vs Massachusetts Minutemen is Massachusetts Minutemen to win, with a 77% chance. We project Ball State Cardinals 19.0 and Massachusetts Minutemen 30.3. Our best bet is UMass to win at -334.

Massachusetts Minutemen form

Massachusetts Minutemen have 4 wins and 14 losses in their last 18 games, with 309 points scored and 563 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Ball State Cardinals form

Ball State Cardinals have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 363 points scored and 567 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Ball State Cardinals to score about 19.0 points and Massachusetts Minutemen about 30.3. That points to Massachusetts Minutemen to win. Our safest bet is UMass to win at -334.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

UMassBall State
Games played1818
Wins47
Losses1411
Points scored309363
Points conceded563567
Scored per game17.220.2
Conceded per game31.331.5
Home record2W 6L6W 2L
Away record2W 8L1W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UMass spreadCoversFair
UMass -18.533%+207
UMass -14.542%+138
UMass -11.549%+102
UMass -8.557%-132
UMass -4.566%-198
Total pointsOverUnder
42.566%34%
46.557%43%
49.549%51%
52.542%58%
56.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UMass +3.5 wins if UMass win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Ball State Cardinals vs Massachusetts Minutemen?

Our prediction for Ball State Cardinals vs Massachusetts Minutemen is Massachusetts Minutemen to win, with a 77% chance. We project Ball State Cardinals 19.0 and Massachusetts Minutemen 30.3. Our best bet is UMass to win at -334.

What is the projected score for Ball State Cardinals vs Massachusetts Minutemen?

We project Ball State Cardinals 19.0 and Massachusetts Minutemen 30.3, about 49.3 points in total.

How are Massachusetts Minutemen playing?

Massachusetts Minutemen have 4 wins and 14 losses in their last 18 games, with 309 points scored and 563 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Ball State Cardinals playing?

Ball State Cardinals have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 363 points scored and 567 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Ball State Cardinals vs Massachusetts Minutemen?

UMass to win at -334, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UMass against Ball State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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