Predictions › United States › Ball State Cardinals vs Northwestern Wildcats
College FootballSat 10 Oct, 12:30 United States time

Ball State Cardinals vs Northwestern Wildcats prediction

Ryan Field

Ball State CardinalsAway
13.4 : 36.3
projected points
Northwestern WildcatsHome
10%Ball State
90%Northwestern
Eagle safe pickNorthwestern -12.5
-293

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ball State Cardinals vs Northwestern Wildcats is Northwestern Wildcats to win, with a 90% chance. We project Ball State Cardinals 13.4 and Northwestern Wildcats 36.3. Our best bet is Northwestern -12.5 at -293.

Prediction
Northwestern Wildcats to win
Chance
90%
Projected score
Ball State Cardinals 13, Northwestern Wildcats 36
Projected total
49.7 points
Best bet
Northwestern -12.5 at -293

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Northwestern -12.5
75% chanceFair price -2931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Northwestern Wildcats 90% and Ball State Cardinals 10%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Northwestern Wildcats won 3 of their last 5 and Ball State Cardinals won 1 of their last 5. Northwestern Wildcats come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Northwestern Wildcats won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Ball State Cardinals won 0 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Northwestern Wildcats score 25.5 points a game and let in 20.1. Ball State Cardinals score 18.5 and let in 31.1. Their recent games average 45.6 and 49.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Northwestern -12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ball State Cardinals vs Northwestern Wildcats: Northwestern Wildcats are favourites

The big picture

Northwestern Wildcats host Ball State Cardinals in the College Football on Sat 10 Oct, 12:30 at Ryan Field. Our prediction for Ball State Cardinals vs Northwestern Wildcats is Northwestern Wildcats to win, with a 90% chance. We project Ball State Cardinals 13.4 and Northwestern Wildcats 36.3. Our best bet is Northwestern -12.5 at -293.

Northwestern Wildcats form

Northwestern Wildcats have 8 wins and 6 losses in their last 14 games, with 357 points scored and 282 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Ball State Cardinals form

Ball State Cardinals have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 259 points scored and 435 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 8 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Ball State Cardinals to score about 13.4 points and Northwestern Wildcats about 36.3. That points to Northwestern Wildcats to win. Our safest bet is Northwestern -12.5 at -293.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

NorthwesternBall State
Games played1414
Wins85
Losses69
Points scored357259
Points conceded282435
Scored per game25.518.5
Conceded per game20.131.1
Home record7W 2L5W 1L
Away record1W 4L0W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Northwestern spreadCoversFair
Northwestern -29.534%+195
Northwestern -25.543%+131
Northwestern -22.551%-103
Northwestern -19.558%-140
Northwestern -15.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
42.567%33%
46.558%42%
49.551%49%
52.543%57%
56.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Northwestern +3.5 wins if Northwestern win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Ball State Cardinals vs Northwestern Wildcats?

Our prediction for Ball State Cardinals vs Northwestern Wildcats is Northwestern Wildcats to win, with a 90% chance. We project Ball State Cardinals 13.4 and Northwestern Wildcats 36.3. Our best bet is Northwestern -12.5 at -293.

What is the projected score for Ball State Cardinals vs Northwestern Wildcats?

We project Ball State Cardinals 13.4 and Northwestern Wildcats 36.3, about 49.7 points in total.

How are Northwestern Wildcats playing?

Northwestern Wildcats have 8 wins and 6 losses in their last 14 games, with 357 points scored and 282 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Ball State Cardinals playing?

Ball State Cardinals have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 259 points scored and 435 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 8 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Ball State Cardinals vs Northwestern Wildcats?

Northwestern -12.5 at -293, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Northwestern against Ball State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.