Predictions › Argentina › Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors

Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 17 Oct, 18:00 Argentina time

Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors prediction

Florencio Solá

BanfieldHome

1.11 : 1.13

expected goals

Argentinos JuniorsAway

34%Banfield

30%Draw

35%Argentinos

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors is Argentinos Juniors to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction: Argentinos Juniors to win
Chance: 35%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Banfield 1.1, Argentinos Juniors 1.1
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score: 46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

79% chanceFair price 1.272 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.071 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Banfield 34%, the draw 30% and Argentinos Juniors 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Banfield took 3 points from their last 5 games and Argentinos Juniors took 8 from 5. Argentinos Juniors come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Banfield won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Argentinos Juniors won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Banfield score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Argentinos Juniors score 1.4 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Banfield games and 8 of Argentinos Juniors games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Banfield won 0 and Argentinos Juniors won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Argentinos Juniors 3, Banfield 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Argentinos recent form+1%
Banfieldrest between games-2%

Banfield form D D D W LArgentinos form W L D D WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors: Argentinos Juniors shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Banfield host Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 17 Oct, 18:00 at Florencio Solá. Our prediction for Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors is Argentinos Juniors to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Banfield form

Banfield have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Argentinos Juniors form

Argentinos Juniors have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Banfield won 0, Argentinos Juniors won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Argentinos Juniors 3, Banfield 2.

Our call

We expect Banfield to score about 1.1 goals and Argentinos Juniors about 1.1. That points to Argentinos Juniors to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.07.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Banfield	Argentinos
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	12
Draws	6	4
Losses	9	4
Goals scored	22	28
Goals conceded	27	19
Scored per game	1.1	1.4
Conceded per game	1.4	0.9
Home record	3W 3D 3L	8W 2D 0L
Away record	2W 3D 6L	4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets	25%	35%
Both teams scored	60%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	66%	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	39%	2.57
Over 3.5 goals	19%	5.29
Both teams to score	46%	2.16
Banfield or Draw	65%	1.54
Argentinos Juniors or Draw	66%	1.52
Banfield to win and Over 2.5	17%	5.96
Argentinos Juniors to win and Over 2.5	17%	5.79
Banfield clean sheet	32%	3.10
Argentinos Juniors clean sheet	33%	3.04

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.2%

0-011.4%

0-111.2%

1-011.0%

1-27.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors?

Our prediction for Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors is Argentinos Juniors to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 0-1. We expect Banfield to score 1.1 goals and Argentinos Juniors 1.1.

Will both teams score in Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Banfield last 20 games and 10 of Argentinos Juniors last 20.

How are Banfield playing?

How are Argentinos Juniors playing?

What happened when Banfield and Argentinos Juniors last met?

It ended Argentinos Juniors 3, Banfield 2. In the last 2 meetings Banfield won 0 and Argentinos Juniors won 2.

What is the best bet for Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Banfield against Argentinos . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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