Predictions › Argentina › Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán

Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 8 Nov, 20:00 Argentina time

Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán prediction

Florencio Solá

BanfieldHome

1.05 : 1.08

expected goals

Atlético TucumánAway

34%Banfield

31%Draw

35%Atl Tucumán

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán is Atlético Tucumán to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction: Atlético Tucumán to win
Chance: 35%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Banfield 1.1, Atlético Tucumán 1.1
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score: 44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.202 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.001 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Banfield 34%, the draw 31% and Atlético Tucumán 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Banfield took 6 points from their last 5 games and Atlético Tucumán took 4 from 5. Banfield come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Banfield won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Atlético Tucumán won 5 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Banfield score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. Atlético Tucumán score 0.8 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Banfield games and 6 of Atlético Tucumán games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Banfield won 0 and Atlético Tucumán won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Atlético Tucumán 1, Banfield 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Atl Tucumánrecent form-1%

Banfield form D L W D DAtl Tucumán form D W L D LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán: Atlético Tucumán shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Banfield host Atlético Tucumán in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at Florencio Solá. Our prediction for Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán is Atlético Tucumán to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Banfield form

Banfield have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Atlético Tucumán form

Atlético Tucumán have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Banfield won 0, Atlético Tucumán won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético Tucumán 1, Banfield 1.

Our call

We expect Banfield to score about 1.1 goals and Atlético Tucumán about 1.1. That points to Atlético Tucumán to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.00.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Banfield	Atl Tucumán
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	6
Draws	7	7
Losses	8	7
Goals scored	21	17
Goals conceded	26	17
Scored per game	1.1	0.8
Conceded per game	1.3	0.8
Home record	2W 4D 3L	1W 5D 4L
Away record	3W 3D 5L	5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets	20%	50%
Both teams scored	60%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	64%	1.57
Over 2.5 goals	36%	2.78
Over 3.5 goals	17%	5.96
Both teams to score	44%	2.28
Banfield or Draw	65%	1.54
Atlético Tucumán or Draw	66%	1.51
Banfield to win and Over 2.5	15%	6.47
Atlético Tucumán to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.19
Banfield clean sheet	34%	2.94
Atlético Tucumán clean sheet	35%	2.87

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.3%

0-012.6%

0-112.0%

1-011.7%

1-27.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán?

Our prediction for Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán is Atlético Tucumán to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 0-1. We expect Banfield to score 1.1 goals and Atlético Tucumán 1.1.

Will both teams score in Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Banfield last 20 games and 8 of Atlético Tucumán last 20.

How are Banfield playing?

How are Atlético Tucumán playing?

What happened when Banfield and Atlético Tucumán last met?

It ended Atlético Tucumán 1, Banfield 1. In the last 1 meeting Banfield won 0 and Atlético Tucumán won 0.

What is the best bet for Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Banfield against Atl Tucumán. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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