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Predictions › Argentina › Banfield vs Lanús
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 24 Oct, 17:45 Argentina time

Banfield vs Lanús prediction

Florencio Solá

BanfieldHome
1.00 : 1.35
expected goals
LanúsAway
27%Banfield
29%Draw
44%Lanús
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Banfield vs Lanús is Lanús to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Lanús to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Banfield 1.0, Lanús 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.331 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Banfield 27%, the draw 29% and Lanús 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Banfield took 6 points from their last 5 games and Lanús took 13 from 5. Lanús come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Banfield won 2 of their last 8 games at home. Lanús won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Banfield score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Lanús score 0.8 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Banfield games and 6 of Lanús games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Banfield won 1 and Lanús won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Lanús 1, Banfield 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Banfieldrecent form+1%
  • Lanús recent form+4%
  • Lanús rest between games-2%
Banfield form D D D D WLanús form D D W W WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Banfield vs Lanús: Lanús shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Banfield host Lanús in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 24 Oct, 17:45 at Florencio Solá. Our prediction for Banfield vs Lanús is Lanús to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Banfield form

Banfield have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Lanús form

Lanús have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Banfield won 1, Lanús won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Lanús 1, Banfield 0.

Our call

We expect Banfield to score about 1.0 goals and Lanús about 1.4. That points to Lanús to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.33.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BanfieldLanús
Games played2020
Wins58
Draws64
Losses98
Goals scored2217
Goals conceded2818
Scored per game1.10.8
Conceded per game1.40.9
Home record2W 3D 3L6W 3D 2L
Away record3W 3D 6L2W 1D 6L
Clean sheets20%50%
Both teams scored65%20%
Over 2.5 goals50%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.45
Over 2.5 goals42%2.39
Over 3.5 goals21%4.73
Both teams to score48%2.10
Banfield or Draw56%1.79
Lanús or Draw73%1.37
Banfield to win and Over 2.513%7.46
Lanús to win and Over 2.523%4.29
Banfield clean sheet26%3.87
Lanús clean sheet37%2.72

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
0-112.1%
0-010.3%
1-08.7%
0-28.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Banfield vs Lanús?

Our prediction for Banfield vs Lanús is Lanús to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Banfield vs Lanús?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Banfield to score 1.0 goals and Lanús 1.4.

Will both teams score in Banfield vs Lanús?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Banfield last 20 games and 4 of Lanús last 20.

How are Banfield playing?

Banfield have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Lanús playing?

Lanús have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Banfield and Lanús last met?

It ended Lanús 1, Banfield 0. In the last 2 meetings Banfield won 1 and Lanús won 1.

What is the best bet for Banfield vs Lanús?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Banfield against Lanús . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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