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Predictions › United Kingdom › Barnet vs Tranmere Rovers
FA CupSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Barnet vs Tranmere Rovers prediction

The Hive Stadium

BarnetHome
1.90 : 1.34
expected goals
Tranmere RoversAway
50%Barnet
24%Draw
26%Tranmere
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for Barnet vs Tranmere Rovers is Barnet to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Prediction
Barnet to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Barnet 1.9, Tranmere Rovers 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/11
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 2/112 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Barnet to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 9/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Barnet 50%, the draw 24% and Tranmere Rovers 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Barnet took 0 points from their last 2 games and Tranmere Rovers took 1 from 2. Tranmere Rovers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Barnet score 1.0 goals a game and let in 2.0. Tranmere Rovers score 1.5 and let in 2.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Barnet games and 2 of Tranmere Rovers games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Barnetrecent form+1%
  • Tranmererecent form-1%
  • Barnetrest between games-3%
  • Tranmererest between games-3%
Barnet form D D L W WTranmere form D W L D LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Barnet vs Tranmere Rovers: Barnet are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Barnet host Tranmere Rovers in the FA Cup on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at The Hive Stadium. Our prediction for Barnet vs Tranmere Rovers is Barnet to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Barnet form

Barnet have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 2 games, with 2 goals scored and 4 conceded. Their last 2 results read L, L, newest first.

Tranmere Rovers form

Tranmere Rovers have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 2 games, with 3 goals scored and 5 conceded. Their last 2 results read D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Barnet to score about 1.9 goals and Tranmere Rovers about 1.3. That points to Barnet to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11. Our bold bet is Barnet to win and Over 2.5 at 9/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 2 games in all competitions.

BarnetTranmere
Games played22
Wins00
Draws01
Losses21
Goals scored23
Goals conceded45
Scored per game1.01.5
Conceded per game2.02.5
Home recordn/a0W 1D 1L
Away record0W 0D 2Ln/a
Clean sheets0%0%
Both teams scored100%100%
Over 2.5 goals100%100%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1/5
Over 2.5 goals63%4/7
Over 3.5 goals41%6/4
Both teams to score63%4/7
Barnet or Draw74%4/11
Tranmere Rovers or Draw50%Evens
Barnet to win and Over 2.536%7/4
Tranmere Rovers to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Barnet clean sheet26%11/4
Tranmere Rovers clean sheet15%11/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
2-19.5%
2-07.1%
1-06.9%
1-26.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Barnet vs Tranmere Rovers?

Our prediction for Barnet vs Tranmere Rovers is Barnet to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

What is the score prediction for Barnet vs Tranmere Rovers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Barnet to score 1.9 goals and Tranmere Rovers 1.3.

Will both teams score in Barnet vs Tranmere Rovers?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Barnet last 2 games and 2 of Tranmere Rovers last 2.

How are Barnet playing?

Barnet have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 2 games, with 2 goals scored and 4 conceded. Their last 2 results read L, L, newest first.

How are Tranmere Rovers playing?

Tranmere Rovers have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 2 games, with 3 goals scored and 5 conceded. Their last 2 results read D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Barnet vs Tranmere Rovers?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/11, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Barnet against Tranmere. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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