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Predictions › United Kingdom › Barnsley vs Aldershot Town
FA CupSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Barnsley vs Aldershot Town prediction

Oakwell

BarnsleyHome
1.95 : 1.36
expected goals
Aldershot TownAway
51%Barnsley
23%Draw
26%Aldershot
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for Barnsley vs Aldershot Town is Barnsley to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Prediction
Barnsley to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Barnsley 1.9, Aldershot Town 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/11
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 2/112 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Barnsley to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 7/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Barnsley 51%, the draw 23% and Aldershot Town 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Barnsley took 1 point from their last 5 games and Aldershot Town took 0 from 1. Barnsley come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Barnsley score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.8. Aldershot Town score 1.0 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Barnsley games and 1 of Aldershot Town games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Barnsleyrecent form-6%
  • Aldershotrecent form-1%
  • Aldershotrest between games-3%
Barnsley form D L L L LAldershot form D W D L LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Barnsley vs Aldershot Town: Barnsley are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Barnsley host Aldershot Town in the FA Cup on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at Oakwell. Our prediction for Barnsley vs Aldershot Town is Barnsley to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Barnsley form

Barnsley have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Aldershot Town form

Aldershot Town have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 1 games, with 1 goals scored and 2 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 1 results read L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Barnsley to score about 1.9 goals and Aldershot Town about 1.4. That points to Barnsley to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11. Our bold bet is Barnsley to win and Over 2.5 at 7/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BarnsleyAldershot
Games played201
Wins40
Draws60
Losses101
Goals scored231
Goals conceded352
Scored per game1.11.0
Conceded per game1.82.0
Home record2W 3D 4Ln/a
Away record2W 3D 6L0W 0D 1L
Clean sheets15%0%
Both teams scored70%100%
Over 2.5 goals65%100%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%2/11
Over 2.5 goals64%4/7
Over 3.5 goals42%11/8
Both teams to score64%4/7
Barnsley or Draw74%4/11
Aldershot Town or Draw49%Evens
Barnsley to win and Over 2.537%7/4
Aldershot Town to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Barnsley clean sheet26%3/1
Aldershot Town clean sheet14%6/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
2-19.4%
2-06.9%
1-26.6%
1-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
League One

Wilshere Clashes With Stendel Following Luton Win Over Barnsley

Jack Wilshere pushed Barnsley manager Daniel Stendel after Luton Town secured a 2-1 victory on Tuesday night, sparking a scuffle on the pitch.

21 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?

Our prediction for Barnsley vs Aldershot Town is Barnsley to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

What is the score prediction for Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Barnsley to score 1.9 goals and Aldershot Town 1.4.

Will both teams score in Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Barnsley last 20 games and 1 of Aldershot Town last 1.

How are Barnsley playing?

Barnsley have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Aldershot Town playing?

Aldershot Town have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 1 games, with 1 goals scored and 2 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 1 results read L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/11, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Barnsley against Aldershot. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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