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Predictions › United Kingdom › Barnsley vs Oxford United
League OneSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Barnsley vs Oxford United prediction

Oakwell

BarnsleyHome
1.08 : 2.13
expected goals
Oxford UnitedAway
18%Barnsley
21%Draw
61%Oxford Utd
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Barnsley vs Oxford United is Oxford United to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Prediction
Oxford United to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Barnsley 1.1, Oxford United 2.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/5
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1/52 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Oxford United to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 5/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Barnsley 18%, the draw 21% and Oxford United 61%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Barnsley took 2 points from their last 5 games and Oxford United took 11 from 5. Oxford United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Barnsley won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Oxford United won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Barnsley score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.7. Oxford United score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Barnsley games and 9 of Oxford United games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Barnsleyrecent form-6%
  • Barnsleyrest between games-5%
  • Oxford Utdrest between games-5%
Barnsley form D L L L LOxford Utd form D D W L DHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Barnsley vs Oxford United: Oxford United are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Barnsley host Oxford United in the League One on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Oakwell. Our prediction for Barnsley vs Oxford United is Oxford United to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Barnsley form

Barnsley have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Oxford United form

Oxford United have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Barnsley to score about 1.1 goals and Oxford United about 2.1. That points to Oxford United to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5. Our bold bet is Oxford United to win and Over 2.5 at 5/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BarnsleyOxford Utd
Games played2020
Wins58
Draws66
Losses96
Goals scored2529
Goals conceded3423
Scored per game1.31.4
Conceded per game1.71.1
Home record2W 3D 4L5W 4D 1L
Away record3W 3D 5L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored70%55%
Over 2.5 goals65%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1/5
Over 2.5 goals62%8/13
Over 3.5 goals40%6/4
Both teams to score59%8/11
Barnsley or Draw39%6/4
Oxford United or Draw82%2/9
Barnsley to win and Over 2.512%15/2
Oxford United to win and Over 2.544%5/4
Barnsley clean sheet12%15/2
Oxford United clean sheet34%2/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.9%
1-19.8%
0-29.1%
0-18.0%
1-37.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
League One

Wilshere Clashes With Stendel Following Luton Win Over Barnsley

Jack Wilshere pushed Barnsley manager Daniel Stendel after Luton Town secured a 2-1 victory on Tuesday night, sparking a scuffle on the pitch.

2 hours ago

Questions people ask

Who will win Barnsley vs Oxford United?

Our prediction for Barnsley vs Oxford United is Oxford United to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Barnsley vs Oxford United?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Barnsley to score 1.1 goals and Oxford United 2.1.

Will both teams score in Barnsley vs Oxford United?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Barnsley last 20 games and 11 of Oxford United last 20.

How are Barnsley playing?

Barnsley have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Oxford United playing?

Oxford United have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Barnsley vs Oxford United?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/5, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Barnsley against Oxford Utd. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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