Predictions › United Kingdom › Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday
League OneFri 20 Nov, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction

Oakwell

BarnsleyHome
1.36 : 1.57
expected goals
Sheffield WednesdayAway
32%Barnsley
26%Draw
42%Sheffield Wed
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday is Sheffield Wednesday to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Sheffield Wednesday to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Barnsley 1.4, Sheffield Wednesday 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sheffield Wednesday to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 11/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Barnsley 32%, the draw 26% and Sheffield Wednesday 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Barnsley took 4 points from their last 5 games and Sheffield Wednesday took 2 from 5. Barnsley come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Barnsley won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Sheffield Wednesday won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Barnsley score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. Sheffield Wednesday score 1.4 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Barnsley games and 9 of Sheffield Wednesday games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Barnsleyrecent form-4%
  • Sheffield Wedrecent form-4%
  • Sheffield Wedrest between games-2%
Barnsley form D D L L LSheffield Wed form L D D L LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday: Sheffield Wednesday shade it

The big picture

Barnsley host Sheffield Wednesday in the League One on Fri 20 Nov, 20:00 at Oakwell. Our prediction for Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday is Sheffield Wednesday to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Barnsley form

Barnsley have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Sheffield Wednesday form

Sheffield Wednesday have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Barnsley to score about 1.4 goals and Sheffield Wednesday about 1.6. That points to Sheffield Wednesday to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Sheffield Wednesday to win and Over 2.5 at 11/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BarnsleySheffield Wed
Games played2020
Wins57
Draws56
Losses107
Goals scored2928
Goals conceded3625
Scored per game1.41.4
Conceded per game1.81.3
Home record3W 3D 4L4W 5D 2L
Away record2W 2D 6L3W 1D 5L
Clean sheets10%20%
Both teams scored75%55%
Over 2.5 goals65%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1/4
Over 2.5 goals56%4/5
Over 3.5 goals34%2/1
Both teams to score60%4/6
Barnsley or Draw58%8/11
Sheffield Wednesday or Draw68%1/2
Barnsley to win and Over 2.521%4/1
Sheffield Wednesday to win and Over 2.527%13/5
Barnsley clean sheet21%4/1
Sheffield Wednesday clean sheet26%3/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
1-28.9%
2-17.8%
0-17.7%
1-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Our prediction for Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday is Sheffield Wednesday to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Barnsley to score 1.4 goals and Sheffield Wednesday 1.6.

Will both teams score in Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Barnsley last 20 games and 11 of Sheffield Wednesday last 20.

How are Barnsley playing?

Barnsley have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Sheffield Wednesday playing?

Sheffield Wednesday have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Barnsley against Sheffield Wed. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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